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Exeter vs Tranmere

England England

League Two St James Park, Exeter
Our Tip

Match Events

30'
Smith N.
45'
Gordon J.
52'
James E.

AI Match Summary

The League Two game between Exeter and Tranmere finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Exeter
35%
Draws
40%
Tranmere
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Tranmere

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Tranmere carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Exeter a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular League Two form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 26%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Exeter Clean Sheet 20%
Tranmere Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Exeter Tranmere
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 4 6
Draws 10 7
Losses 15 16
Goals Scored 1.03 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 League Two
Exeter vs Tranmere
0:0
Apr 18, 2022 League Two
Tranmere vs Exeter
2:0
Dec 11, 2021 League Two
Exeter vs Tranmere
0:1
Mar 20, 2021 League Two
Tranmere vs Exeter
2:1
Dec 12, 2020 League Two
Exeter vs Tranmere
5:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Exeter 36 / 100
Tranmere 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Exeter Tranmere

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Exeter's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Tranmere has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Solid form: Exeter remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Exeter VS Tranmere
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Exeter

(Home)
22 Sept
Cheltenham
3 : 2
Exeter
19 Sept
Exeter
0 : 0
Tranmere
12 Sept
Port Vale
1 : 0
Exeter
08 Sept
Exeter
2 : 0
Tottenham U21
05 Sept
Exeter
0 : 0
Walsall
Page 1 of 6

Tranmere

(Away)
22 Sept
Tranmere
1 : 0
Shrewsbury
19 Sept
Exeter
0 : 0
Tranmere
12 Sept
Gillingham
2 : 0
Tranmere
05 Sept
Tranmere
2 : 0
Oldham
01 Sept
Tranmere
2 : 2
Rotherham
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barnet 7 4 3 0 17:10 15
2 Walsall 7 3 4 0 10:4 13
3 Grimsby 7 3 4 0 11:6 13
4 Gillingham 7 3 3 1 11:6 12
5 Cheltenham 7 3 3 1 14:11 12
6 Bristol Rovers 7 4 0 3 12:11 12
7 York City 7 3 2 2 13:10 11
8 Chesterfield 7 3 2 2 10:8 11
9 Crewe 7 2 5 0 7:5 11
10 Tranmere 7 2 4 1 9:7 10
11 Fleetwood Town 7 2 4 1 8:7 10
12 Salford 7 3 1 3 8:9 10
13 Swindon 7 3 1 3 8:11 10
14 Rotherham 7 2 3 2 10:10 9
15 Colchester 7 2 3 2 8:10 9
16 Oldham 7 2 1 4 8:9 7
17 Rochdale 7 2 1 4 7:10 7
18 Shrewsbury 7 2 1 4 5:11 7
19 Newport 7 1 3 3 10:11 6
20 Exeter 7 1 3 3 4:5 6
21 Accrington 7 1 3 3 10:13 6
22 Northampton 7 1 3 3 3:6 6
23 Port Vale 7 1 2 4 3:9 5
24 Crawley Town 7 1 1 5 6:13 4
Promotion - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs)
Relegation - National League 2027/2028 (Main)