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Exeter W vs AFC Wimbledon W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Women's National League South
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

AFC Wimbledon W in this Women's National League South matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored AFC Wimbledon W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Exeter W
35%
Draws
32%
AFC Wimbledon W
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Exeter W lately — more wins on the board than AFC Wimbledon W.
  • AFC Wimbledon W are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Women's National League South form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Exeter W Clean Sheet 10%
AFC Wimbledon W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Exeter W AFC Wimbledon W
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 10
Draws 4 5
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.96 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.71 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 11, 2026 Women's National League South
Exeter W vs AFC Wimbledon W
1:4
Apr 12, 2026 Women's National League South
AFC Wimbledon W vs Exeter W
2:0
Nov 16, 2025 Women's National League South
Exeter W vs AFC Wimbledon W
2:0
Feb 23, 2025 Women's National League South
Exeter W vs AFC Wimbledon W
2:1
Sep 22, 2024 Women's National League South
AFC Wimbledon W vs Exeter W
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Exeter W 26 / 100
AFC Wimbledon W 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Exeter W AFC Wimbledon W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AFC Wimbledon W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Exeter W found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (28 games).

AFC Wimbledon W has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Exeter W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Exeter W VS AFC Wimbledon W
1.5 Goals Scored 1.88
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Exeter W

(Home)
04 Oct
Fulham W
1 : 2
Exeter W
20 Sept
Exeter W
0 : 1
Bournemouth W
13 Sept
Cheltenham W
4 : 4
Exeter W
30 Aug
Exeter W
3 : 1
Lewes W
23 Aug
Hashtag W
1 : 1
Exeter W
Page 1 of 6

AFC Wimbledon W

(Away)
04 Oct
Swindon W
0 : 0
AFC Wimbledon W
13 Sept
AFC Wimbledon W
2 : 0
Real Bedford W
23 Aug
Plymouth W
0 : 6
AFC Wimbledon W
16 Aug
AFC Wimbledon W
0 : 1
Bournemouth W
26 Apr
Hashtag W
2 : 2
AFC Wimbledon W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Oxford Utd W 6 6 0 0 23:0 18
2 Bournemouth W 6 4 1 1 9:4 13
3 Fulham W 5 4 0 1 13:4 12
4 Portsmouth W 5 3 1 1 10:1 10
5 Real Bedford W 6 3 0 3 9:11 9
6 Exeter W 6 2 2 2 10:12 8
7 AFC Wimbledon W 4 2 1 1 8:1 7
8 Lewes W 6 1 3 2 6:8 6
9 Hashtag W 6 1 3 2 9:13 6
10 Swindon W 6 1 1 4 6:14 4
11 Cheltenham W 6 0 2 4 8:19 2
12 Plymouth W 6 0 0 6 3:27 0
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