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Exeter W vs Hashtag W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Women’s FA Cup St James Park, Exeter
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Women’s FA Cup. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Hashtag W have shipped 1.59 goals a game lately, while Exeter W have conceded 1.67 and scored 2.27. Past meetings favor Exeter W slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 23, 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (1.75 - 1.75) back Exeter W to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Exeter W
30%
Draws
29%
Hashtag W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Exeter W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Exeter W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Exeter W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Exeter W, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Exeter W Clean Sheet 12%
Hashtag W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Exeter W Hashtag W
Matches Played 33 39
Wins 16 15
Draws 4 9
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 2.27 1.95
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Women's National League South
Hashtag W vs Exeter W
1:1
Mar 8, 2026 Women's National League South
Hashtag W vs Exeter W
0:1
Sep 21, 2025 Women's National League South
Exeter W vs Hashtag W
6:0
Apr 13, 2025 Women's National League South
Hashtag W vs Exeter W
2:0
Oct 27, 2024 Women's National League South
Exeter W vs Hashtag W
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Exeter W 35 / 100
Hashtag W 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Exeter W Hashtag W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hashtag W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Exeter W's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Defensive concern: Hashtag W conceded in 67% of 39 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Exeter W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Exeter W VS Hashtag W
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Exeter W

(Home)
18 Oct
Real Bedford W
1 : 2
Exeter W
11 Oct
Exeter W
1 : 4
AFC Wimbledon W
04 Oct
Fulham W
1 : 2
Exeter W
20 Sept
Exeter W
0 : 1
Bournemouth W
13 Sept
Cheltenham W
4 : 4
Exeter W
Page 1 of 7

Hashtag W

(Away)
18 Oct
Fulham W
3 : 0
Hashtag W
11 Oct
Hashtag W
0 : 0
Portsmouth W
04 Oct
Cheltenham W
2 : 2
Hashtag W
20 Sept
Hashtag W
4 : 0
Swindon W
13 Sept
Hashtag W
0 : 5
Oxford Utd W
Page 1 of 8

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Leeds Modernians W -
Liverpool Feds W -
Norton & Stockton W -
AFC Fylde W -
Grimsby W -
Stockport W -
Workington W -
Mancunian Unity W -
Durham Cestria W -
Hull City W -
Harrogate W -
Bolton W -
Wigan W -
Chester-Le-Street Town W -
Lincoln W -
Halifax W -
Thornaby W -
Chorley W -
Preston W -
International Soccer Academy W -
Huddersfield W -
Middlesbrough W -
South Shields W -
SJR Worksop W -
Leeds W -
Rotherham W -
Kidderminster W -
Wroxham W -
Sutton Coldfield Town W -
Derby W -
Northampton W -
Stoke City LFC W -
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Peterborough W -
West Brom W -
Notts County W -
Port Vale W -
Boldmere St Michaels W -
Luton W -
Cambridge Utd W -
Leafield Athletic W -
Mansfield W -
Norwich W -
Redditch Borough FC W -
Royston Town W -
Crewe W -
Milton Keynes Dons W -
Nantwich W -
Harpenden Town W -
Chesterfield W -
Rugby Borough W -
Sporting Khalsa W -
Real Bedford W -
Dussindale & Hellesdon W -
Nottingham Trent W -
Loughborough Lightning W -
Actonians W -
Marine Academy Plymouth W -
Portsmouth W -
Cheltenham W -
QPR W -
Lewes W -
St Agnes AFC W -
Portishead Town W -
Barking W -
Bromley W -
Gwalia United W -
Yate W -
Haringey Borough W -
Dulwich Hamlet W -
Abingdon W -
Bristol Rovers W -
Brentford W -
Dartford W -
Plymouth W -
Millwall W -
Exeter W -
Hashtag W -
Bournemouth W -
Feniton W -
Moneyfields W -
Saltdean United W -
Tooting Bec W -
Chatham W -
Swindon W -
Bridgwater United W -
Hammersmith W -
AFC Wimbledon W -
Fulham W -
Enfield Town W -
Winchester City W -
Keynsham Town W -
Maidenhead W -
Andover New Street W -
Portchester W -
Oxford Utd W -
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Semi-finals
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Final
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