Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
This Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2021/2022 encounter between Extremadura UD B and UP Plasencia promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Extremadura UD B averages 0.6 goals scored and 1.8 conceded in recent matches. UP Plasencia shows a form average of 1.0 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 1 wins for Extremadura UD B, 2 wins for UP Plasencia, and 2 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 24.04.22 ended in a 2:0 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.17 for Extremadura UD B and 1.18 for UP Plasencia, suggesting the primary value lies in the UP Plasencia double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Extremadura UD B picked up more points recently compared to UP Plasencia.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.17 vs 1.18 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Extremadura UD B | UP Plasencia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 34 |
| Wins | 6 | 8 |
| Draws | 4 | 6 |
| Losses | 20 | 20 |
| Goals Scored | 0.6 | 0.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.8 | 1.35 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Tactical Matchup Profile
Field Positions & Control Styles
Extremadura UD B
UP Plasencia
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Expected Match Flow Timeline
Dominance and pressure projections by 15-minute intervals
Both sides are expected to start cautiously, looking to control the midfield battle.
The game is expected to settle into a tactical block, with both managers looking for space on the flanks.
The tempo could accelerate as both teams push for an opening goal before half-time.
Expect tactical adjustments from both sides, possibly shifting to a wider play style.
As players tire, spaces will open up, leading to transitional counter-attacks for both teams.
A high-risk final phase where any defensive lapse could lead to late drama and decide the match.
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Extremadura UD B have found the net in 33% of their last 30 matches.
UP Plasencia have conceded at least one goal in 79% of their last 34 fixtures.
Historical meetings between these sides average 1.00 goals per match.
Extremadura UD B remained undefeated in 0 of their last 5 overall matchups.
UP Plasencia suffered defeat in 2 of their last 5 overall games.
Match Risk Analysis
Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability
Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.
Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.
Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CD Diocesano | 30 | 20 | 3 | 7 | 61:30 | 63 |
| 2 | Moralo | 30 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 39:19 | 52 |
| 3 | AD Llerenense | 30 | 13 | 12 | 5 | 44:32 | 51 |
| 4 | Jerez CF | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 38:30 | 49 |
| 5 | Arroyo | 30 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 40:30 | 48 |
| 6 | CF Trujillo | 30 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 40:27 | 48 |
| 7 | CD Azuaga | 30 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 41:31 | 48 |
| 8 | CD Calamonte | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 35:33 | 43 |
| 9 | UP Plasencia | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 24:29 | 38 |
| 10 | SP Villafranca | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 27:30 | 37 |
| 11 | Olivenza FC | 30 | 7 | 12 | 11 | 31:35 | 33 |
| 12 | Don Alvaro | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 36:44 | 31 |
| 13 | Miajadas | 30 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 30:48 | 29 |
| 14 | Aceuchal | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 24:42 | 29 |
| 15 | CD Badajoz B | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 24:38 | 27 |
| 16 | Extremadura UD B | 30 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 18:54 | 0 |