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Stadium Background

Extremadura UD vs Dep. A Coruna

Spain Spain

Primera RFEF - Group 1 2021/2022 Estadio Francisco de la Hera
Sat, May 7, 2022
0 - 2
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Extremadura UD play Dep. A Coruna in the Primera RFEF - Group 1 2021/2022. Dep. A Coruna are favorites here. Recently, Extremadura UD averaged 0.5 goals scored and 2.47 conceded. Dep. A Coruna averaged 1.42 goals scored and 0.97 conceded. In past meetings, Extremadura UD won 3, Dep. A Coruna won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 7, 2022 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.17 for Extremadura UD and 1.11 for Dep. A Coruna. This points to a Dep. A Coruna double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Extremadura UD
15%
Draws
73%
Dep. A Coruna
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dep. A Coruna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Extremadura UD picked up more points recently compared to Dep. A Coruna.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.17 vs 1.11 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 43%
Over 3.5 Goals 26%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 41%
Extremadura UD Clean Sheet 21%
Dep. A Coruna Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 79%
Second Half Goal 84%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Extremadura UD Dep. A Coruna
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 2 19
Draws 2 6
Losses 26 8
Goals Scored 0.5 1.42
Goals Conceded 2.47 0.97

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2022 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Extremadura UD vs Dep. A Coruna
0:2
Nov 14, 2021 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Dep. A Coruna vs Extremadura UD
3:0
Jul 12, 2020 LaLiga2
Dep. A Coruna vs Extremadura UD
2:3
Nov 16, 2019 LaLiga2
Extremadura UD vs Dep. A Coruna
2:0
Apr 21, 2019 LaLiga2
Dep. A Coruna vs Extremadura UD
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Extremadura UD 15 / 100
Dep. A Coruna 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Extremadura UD Dep. A Coruna

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dep. A Coruna Win (2)
Secondary Pick Dep. A Coruna & Under 3.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +200%
25.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +16.1%
2.70
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Extremadura UD attacking → ← attacking Dep. A Coruna

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Extremadura UD scored in 33% of their last 30 games.

Dep. A Coruna let in goals in 70% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Extremadura UD went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Dep. A Coruna lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

8 Points in last 5 63
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Racing Santander38257661:3182
2Dep. A Coruna38228859:2974
3Racing Club Ferrol38219850:2672
4Rayo Majadahonda381951450:4762
5UD Logrones381881241:3762
6Celta Vigo B3817101160:4661
7Unionistas de Salamanca381613955:3761
8Real Union381861451:4560
9CD Badajoz3814141040:3056
10San Sebastian Reyes381581540:4153
11CD Calahorra3814101448:4352
12Leonesa3812131361:5549
13SD Logrones3812121443:4348
14DUX Internacional de Madrid3811131446:5146
15Ath Bilbao B3811121536:4645
16CF Talavera381191839:5442
17Zamora389101930:4837
18Valladolid Promesas38992042:6436
19Tudelano38772433:5428
20Extremadura UD38552822:800