Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Eyupspor vs Tuzlaspor

Turkey Turkey

1. Lig 2023/2024 Eyüp Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Eyupspor play Tuzlaspor in the 1. Lig 2023/2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Eyupspor averaged 1.35 goals scored and 1.42 conceded. Tuzlaspor averaged 1.14 goals scored and 1.24 conceded. In past meetings, Eyupspor won 3, Tuzlaspor won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jan 27, 2024 ended 4:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.42 for Eyupspor and 1.38 for Tuzlaspor. This points to a Eyupspor double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Eyupspor
27%
Draws
34%
Tuzlaspor
Draw rate projection: 27% Favored: Eyupspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Eyupspor picked up more points recently compared to Tuzlaspor.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.42 vs 1.38 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 80%
Over 2.5 Goals 51%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 54%
Eyupspor Clean Sheet 17%
Tuzlaspor Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 72%
Second Half Goal 76%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Eyupspor Tuzlaspor
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 9 8
Draws 8 10
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.35 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.42 1.24

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 27, 2024 1. Lig
Eyupspor vs Tuzlaspor
4:0
Aug 26, 2023 1. Lig
Tuzlaspor vs Eyupspor
0:5
Apr 29, 2023 1. Lig
Tuzlaspor vs Eyupspor
0:0
Dec 2, 2022 1. Lig
Eyupspor vs Tuzlaspor
2:0
May 8, 2022 1. Lig
Tuzlaspor vs Eyupspor
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Eyupspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Niyaz R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bruno G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Tuzlaspor Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Eyupspor 39 / 100
Tuzlaspor 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Eyupspor Tuzlaspor

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Eyupspor or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26%
3.23
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +13.2%
2.22
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Eyupspor attacking → ← attacking Tuzlaspor

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Eyupspor scored in 65% of their last 31 games.

Tuzlaspor let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Eyupspor went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Tuzlaspor lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

35 Points in last 5 34
1.63 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Eyupspor34243777:3175
2Goztepe34217660:2070
3Sakaryaspor34179850:3560
4Bodrumspor341512743:2257
5Corum FK341681055:3656
6Kocaelispor341671148:4155
7Boluspor341581133:3553
8Genclerbirligi341312939:3351
9Bandirmaspor3413111049:3250
10Erzurumspor FK3412111130:3444
11Umraniyespor341271540:4743
12Manisa FK349131240:4040
13Keciorengucu3410101434:4340
14Adanaspor AS341161728:4539
15Sanliurfaspor349111432:3738
16Tuzlaspor349111435:4738
17Altay34542516:7610
18Giresunspor34242816:717