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Ezanville Ecouen vs Alencon

France France

Coupe de France 2008/2009
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ezanville Ecouen play Alencon in the Coupe de France 2008/2009. It looks like a close match. Recently, Ezanville Ecouen averaged 1 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. Alencon averaged 2 goals scored and 1.78 conceded. In past meetings, Ezanville Ecouen won 0, Alencon won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Dec 20, 2008 ended 1:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.38 for Ezanville Ecouen and 1.88 for Alencon. This points to a Alencon double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Ezanville Ecouen
40%
Draws
30%
Alencon
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Alencon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / Medium Confidence
  • Ezanville Ecouen picked up more points recently compared to Alencon.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.38 vs 1.88 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 75%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 83%
Over 2.5 Goals 75%
Over 3.5 Goals 45%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Ezanville Ecouen Clean Sheet 10%
Alencon Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 75%
Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ezanville Ecouen Alencon
Matches Played 2 9
Wins 1 4
Draws 0 0
Losses 1 5
Goals Scored 1 2
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.78
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 20, 2008 Coupe de France
Ezanville Ecouen vs Alencon
1:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ezanville Ecouen 29 / 100
Alencon 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ezanville Ecouen Alencon

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Alencon or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +36.5%
4.55
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.7%
1.45
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Ezanville Ecouen attacking → ← attacking Alencon

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ezanville Ecouen scored in 100% of their last 2 games.

Alencon let in goals in 100% of their last 9 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Ezanville Ecouen went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Alencon lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

3 Points in last 5 12
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.25
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75