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Ezcabarte vs Bidezarra

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Asier L.
80' Event
Zabalza X.
90' Event
Beunza R.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2025/2026 game between Ezcabarte and Bidezarra finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ezcabarte.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Ezcabarte
35%
Draws
32%
Bidezarra
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Bidezarra haven't matched Ezcabarte's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Ezcabarte's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Ezcabarte Clean Sheet 68%
Bidezarra Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ezcabarte Bidezarra
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 8
Draws 8 9
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.59 0.79
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Ezcabarte vs Bidezarra
3:0
Oct 18, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Bidezarra vs Ezcabarte
3:0
Apr 6, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Bidezarra vs Ezcabarte
0:0
Nov 18, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Ezcabarte vs Bidezarra
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ezcabarte Compare

Top Goalscorer Asier L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zabalza X.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Bidezarra Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ezcabarte 86 / 100
Bidezarra 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ezcabarte Bidezarra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ezcabarte Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ezcabarte scored in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Bidezarra's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Ezcabarte went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ezcabarte VS Bidezarra
1.5 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ezcabarte

(Home)
19 Sept
Ezcabarte
1 : 1
Subiza
12 Sept
CD Beti Onak
1 : 1
Ezcabarte
05 Sept
Ezcabarte
4 : 0
Txantrea
14 Aug
AD San Juan
2 : 1
Ezcabarte
09 May
CD Beti Onak
2 : 1
Ezcabarte
Page 1 of 6

Bidezarra

(Away)
19 Sept
Bidezarra
0 : 4
Izarra
12 Sept
Cortes
2 : 0
Bidezarra
05 Sept
Bidezarra
0 : 0
Beti Kozkor
09 May
Bidezarra
3 : 1
Oberena
03 May
Izarra
0 : 0
Bidezarra
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pena 34 24 5 5 65:39 77
2 Pamplona 34 22 8 4 65:28 74
3 Izarra 34 16 13 5 64:31 61
4 Subiza 34 15 9 10 46:31 54
5 AD San Juan 34 12 16 6 43:28 52
6 Huarte 34 15 2 17 49:47 47
7 Beti Kozkor 34 12 10 12 50:43 46
8 Ezcabarte 34 12 9 13 47:49 45
9 Cortes 34 13 5 16 37:51 44
10 Cirbonero 34 11 10 13 38:42 43
11 Txantrea 34 12 7 15 52:67 43
12 Valle Egues 34 11 9 14 48:57 42
13 Bidezarra 34 10 9 15 34:40 39
14 Aoiz 34 9 9 16 41:49 36
15 CD Beti Onak 34 9 9 16 42:55 36
16 CD Ardoi 34 8 12 14 46:56 36
17 Oberena 34 7 10 17 32:61 31
18 CA Artajones 34 7 10 17 36:61 31
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2025/2026 (Play Offs)