Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ezcabarte vs CD Ardoi

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Jorajuria J.
11' Event
Gurpegui U.
13' Event
Gurpegui U.

AI Match Summary

CD Ardoi in this Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored CD Ardoi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Ezcabarte
20%
Draws
80%
CD Ardoi
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CD Ardoi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • CD Ardoi haven't matched Ezcabarte's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Ezcabarte Clean Sheet 12%
CD Ardoi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ezcabarte CD Ardoi
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 8
Draws 9 11
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.43 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Ezcabarte vs CD Ardoi
3:4
Dec 20, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
CD Ardoi vs Ezcabarte
1:1
Mar 23, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
CD Ardoi vs Ezcabarte
3:0
Nov 5, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Ezcabarte vs CD Ardoi
1:1
Feb 25, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Ezcabarte vs CD Ardoi
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ezcabarte Compare

Top Goalscorer Jorajuria J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Lombardia P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

CD Ardoi Compare

Top Goalscorer Gurpegui U.
4 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ezcabarte 35 / 100
CD Ardoi 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ezcabarte CD Ardoi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Ardoi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ezcabarte found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

CD Ardoi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: CD Ardoi has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ezcabarte VS CD Ardoi
1.5 Goals Scored 1.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ezcabarte

(Home)
14 Aug
AD San Juan
2 : 1
Ezcabarte
09 May
CD Beti Onak
2 : 1
Ezcabarte
03 May
Ezcabarte
1 : 3
Aoiz
25 Apr
Ezcabarte
3 : 4
CD Ardoi
18 Apr
Beti Kozkor
3 : 0
Ezcabarte
Page 1 of 6

CD Ardoi

(Away)
09 May
AD San Juan
3 : 1
CD Ardoi
03 May
CD Ardoi
2 : 2
CD Beti Onak
25 Apr
Ezcabarte
3 : 4
CD Ardoi
18 Apr
Aoiz
2 : 1
CD Ardoi
11 Apr
CD Ardoi
2 : 2
Beti Kozkor
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pena 34 24 5 5 65:39 77
2 Pamplona 34 22 8 4 65:28 74
3 Izarra 34 16 13 5 64:31 61
4 Subiza 34 15 9 10 46:31 54
5 AD San Juan 34 12 16 6 43:28 52
6 Huarte 34 15 2 17 49:47 47
7 Beti Kozkor 34 12 10 12 50:43 46
8 Ezcabarte 34 12 9 13 47:49 45
9 Cortes 34 13 5 16 37:51 44
10 Cirbonero 34 11 10 13 38:42 43
11 Txantrea 34 12 7 15 52:67 43
12 Valle Egues 34 11 9 14 48:57 42
13 Bidezarra 34 10 9 15 34:40 39
14 Aoiz 34 9 9 16 41:49 36
15 CD Beti Onak 34 9 9 16 42:55 36
16 CD Ardoi 34 8 12 14 46:56 36
17 Oberena 34 7 10 17 32:61 31
18 CA Artajones 34 7 10 17 36:61 31
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2025/2026 (Play Offs)