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Ezcabarte vs CD Corellano

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Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2021/2022 game between Ezcabarte and CD Corellano finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Ezcabarte
20%
Draws
44%
CD Corellano
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CD Corellano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • CD Corellano haven't matched Ezcabarte's recent run of results.
  • Ezcabarte are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Ezcabarte Clean Sheet 68%
CD Corellano Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ezcabarte CD Corellano
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 10 6
Draws 9 5
Losses 12 19
Goals Scored 1.48 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.42 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 29, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
CD Corellano vs Ezcabarte
3:2
Jan 8, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Ezcabarte vs CD Corellano
1:1
May 4, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
CD Corellano vs Ezcabarte
1:0
Dec 15, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Ezcabarte vs CD Corellano
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ezcabarte 95 / 100
CD Corellano 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ezcabarte CD Corellano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ezcabarte Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ezcabarte scored in 87% of their last 31 games.

CD Corellano's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Ezcabarte remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ezcabarte VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ezcabarte

(Home)
26 Sept
Mutilvera
1 : 0
Ezcabarte
19 Sept
Ezcabarte
1 : 1
Subiza
12 Sept
CD Beti Onak
1 : 1
Ezcabarte
05 Sept
Ezcabarte
4 : 0
Txantrea
14 Aug
AD San Juan
2 : 1
Ezcabarte
Page 1 of 7

CD Corellano

(Away)
29 Apr
CD Corellano
3 : 2
Ezcabarte
23 Apr
CD Beti Onak
5 : 3
CD Corellano
09 Apr
CD Corellano
2 : 1
Valle Egues
03 Apr
CD Corellano
0 : 2
Azkoyen
27 Mar
Murchante
2 : 1
CD Corellano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cirbonero 30 20 9 1 50:12 69
2 Subiza 30 20 4 6 62:24 64
3 Txantrea 30 16 7 7 46:26 55
4 Huarte 30 14 9 7 58:40 51
5 CD Cantolagua 30 14 8 8 49:33 50
6 Cortes 30 14 6 10 39:24 48
7 CD Beti Onak 30 12 8 10 37:30 44
8 Ezcabarte 30 10 10 10 41:39 40
9 Pamplona 30 11 5 14 24:30 38
10 Azkoyen 30 10 7 13 32:51 37
11 Valle Egues 30 11 4 15 38:49 37
12 Burlades 30 8 9 13 35:39 33
13 Murchante 30 9 5 16 29:50 32
14 Beti Kozkor 30 8 4 18 20:41 28
15 CD Corellano 30 6 5 19 27:52 23
16 CD Gares 30 4 6 20 20:67 18
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2021/2022 (Play Offs)