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Ezcabarte vs Gazte Berriak - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Our Tip

Match Events

71' Event
Pavon J.
(Penalty)
73' Event
Rangel A.
90' Event
Lombardia P.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 15 game between Ezcabarte and Gazte Berriak finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ezcabarte.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Ezcabarte
15%
Draws
37%
Gazte Berriak
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ezcabarte

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ezcabarte come out ahead of Gazte Berriak on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Ezcabarte Clean Sheet 20%
Gazte Berriak Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ezcabarte Gazte Berriak
Matches Played 29 9
Wins 11 4
Draws 7 2
Losses 11 3
Goals Scored 1.45 1
Goals Conceded 1.24 0.78
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 31, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Ezcabarte vs Gazte Berriak
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ezcabarte Compare

Top Goalscorer Lombardia P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Gazte Berriak Compare

Top Goalscorer Rangel A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ezcabarte 31 / 100
Gazte Berriak 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ezcabarte Gazte Berriak

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ezcabarte Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ezcabarte's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Ezcabarte has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Gazte Berriak's defensive record shows goals conceded in 56% of 9 matches.

Scoring Trends

Ezcabarte VS Gazte Berriak
1.63 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ezcabarte

(Home)
31 Oct
Ezcabarte
2 : 1
Gazte Berriak
23 Oct
Huarte
1 : 0
Ezcabarte
17 Oct
Ezcabarte
1 : 3
Doneztebe FT
10 Oct
Aoiz
0 : 1
Ezcabarte
03 Oct
Ezcabarte
4 : 1
CD Cantolagua
Page 1 of 6

Gazte Berriak

(Away)
31 Oct
Ezcabarte
2 : 1
Gazte Berriak
25 Oct
Gazte Berriak
0 : 0
Valle Egues
18 Oct
Pamplona
1 : 0
Gazte Berriak
09 Oct
Huarte
0 : 2
Gazte Berriak
04 Oct
Gazte Berriak
1 : 0
Doneztebe FT
Page 1 of 2

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Izarra 9 8 1 0 26:4 25
2 Mutilvera 9 6 3 0 15:3 21
3 Beti Kozkor 9 5 1 3 10:9 16
4 AD San Juan 9 4 2 3 17:10 14
5 Ezcabarte 9 4 2 3 14:9 14
6 Gazte Berriak 9 4 2 3 9:7 14
7 Subiza 9 4 1 4 17:14 13
8 Valle Egues 9 3 4 2 15:13 13
9 Txantrea 9 3 4 2 11:11 13
10 Doneztebe FT 9 3 3 3 16:12 12
11 Aoiz 9 2 5 2 8:7 11
12 Cirbonero 9 3 2 4 10:14 11
13 CD Cantolagua 9 3 0 6 5:20 9
14 CD Beti Onak 9 1 5 3 11:14 8
15 Pamplona 9 1 4 4 7:14 7
16 Huarte 9 1 4 4 7:15 7
17 Cortes 9 1 3 5 4:16 6
18 Bidezarra 9 0 4 5 6:16 4
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 15 (Play Offs)