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Ezcabarte vs Subiza

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
67' Event

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 15 game between Ezcabarte and Subiza finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Ezcabarte
35%
Draws
32%
Subiza
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Subiza carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 33% — that's where the model lands on Ezcabarte taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 15 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Ezcabarte Clean Sheet 17%
Subiza Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ezcabarte Subiza
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 11 13
Draws 8 8
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.59 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.22
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Ezcabarte vs Subiza
1:1
Jan 25, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Subiza vs Ezcabarte
0:1
Sep 13, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Ezcabarte vs Subiza
1:0
Apr 3, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Ezcabarte vs Subiza
1:1
Oct 12, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Subiza vs Ezcabarte
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ezcabarte 48 / 100
Subiza 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ezcabarte Subiza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ezcabarte Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ezcabarte scored in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Subiza conceded in 66% of 32 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Ezcabarte stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ezcabarte VS Subiza
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ezcabarte

(Home)
19 Sept
Ezcabarte
1 : 1
Subiza
12 Sept
CD Beti Onak
1 : 1
Ezcabarte
05 Sept
Ezcabarte
4 : 0
Txantrea
14 Aug
AD San Juan
2 : 1
Ezcabarte
09 May
CD Beti Onak
2 : 1
Ezcabarte
Page 1 of 6

Subiza

(Away)
19 Sept
Ezcabarte
1 : 1
Subiza
13 Sept
Subiza
5 : 2
Valle Egues
05 Sept
Gazte Berriak
3 : 2
Subiza
30 Aug
Huesca B
4 : 1
Subiza
23 Aug
Subiza
2 : 2
Izarra
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Izarra 3 3 0 0 12:1 9
2 Beti Kozkor 3 2 1 0 2:0 7
3 Gazte Berriak 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
4 Doneztebe FT 4 1 2 1 10:6 5
5 Ezcabarte 3 1 2 0 6:2 5
6 Aoiz 3 1 2 0 3:1 5
7 Mutilvera 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
8 Subiza 3 1 1 1 8:6 4
9 Txantrea 3 1 1 1 2:5 4
10 AD San Juan 3 1 0 2 6:5 3
11 CD Beti Onak 3 0 3 0 3:3 3
12 Huarte 4 0 3 1 4:5 3
13 Cortes 3 1 0 2 2:6 3
14 CD Cantolagua 3 1 0 2 2:8 3
15 Pamplona 3 0 2 1 2:3 2
16 Valle Egues 3 0 2 1 5:8 2
17 Cirbonero 3 0 2 1 1:5 2
18 Bidezarra 3 0 1 2 0:6 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 15 (Play Offs)