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Ezeiza vs Deportivo Metalurgico

Argentina Argentina

Torneo Promocional Amateur 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

89' Event
Gimenez E.

AI Match Summary

Deportivo Metalurgico in this Torneo Promocional Amateur 2025 tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Ezeiza
30%
Draws
34%
Deportivo Metalurgico
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ezeiza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Ezeiza haven't matched Deportivo Metalurgico's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Ezeiza's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Deportivo Metalurgico arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Deportivo Metalurgico, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Ezeiza here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
Ezeiza Clean Sheet 19%
Deportivo Metalurgico Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ezeiza Deportivo Metalurgico
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 13 15
Draws 7 8
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 0.88 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 5, 2025 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Ezeiza vs Deportivo Metalurgico
0:1
Aug 16, 2024 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Ezeiza vs Deportivo Metalurgico
1:0
Mar 26, 2024 Torneo Promocional Amateur
Deportivo Metalurgico vs Ezeiza
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ezeiza Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Deportivo Metalurgico Compare

Top Goalscorer Gimenez E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ezeiza 36 / 100
Deportivo Metalurgico 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ezeiza Deportivo Metalurgico

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Ezeiza remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Ezeiza's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Deportivo Metalurgico conceded in 58% of 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Ezeiza VS Deportivo Metalurgico
0.88 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ezeiza

(Home)
14 Jul
Buenos Aires City
1 : 2
Ezeiza
08 Jul
Ezeiza
3 : 2
Academia Control Orientado
28 Jun
Belgrano Zarate
0 : 0
Ezeiza
23 Jun
Ezeiza
0 : 0
Uribelarrea
17 Jun
Alumni Los Hornos
0 : 1
Ezeiza
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Deportivo Metalurgico

(Away)
12 Jul
Atletico Pilar
1 : 1
Deportivo Metalurgico
04 Jul
Deportivo Metalurgico
1 : 0
Social Atletico Television
29 Jun
Juventud de Bernal
1 : 5
Deportivo Metalurgico
21 Jun
Deportivo Metalurgico
0 : 1
Nautico Hacoaj
12 Jun
Defensores de Glew
1 : 2
Deportivo Metalurgico
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Ezeiza0
Deportivo Metalurgico1