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F. Karagumruk vs Eyupspor

Turkey Turkey

Super Lig 2025/2026 Ataturk Olimpiyat, Istanbul
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Serginho
Assist: Verde D.
33'
Sub
Babicka S. In: Cukur T.
Out: Babicka S.
39' Event
Kranevitter M.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

Eyupspor in this Super Lig 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Eyupspor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
F. Karagumruk
30%
Draws
23%
Eyupspor
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: F. Karagumruk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to F. Karagumruk lately — more wins on the board than Eyupspor.
  • F. Karagumruk are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
F. Karagumruk Clean Sheet 68%
Eyupspor Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric F. Karagumruk Eyupspor
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 9
Draws 7 6
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1.23 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Super Lig
F. Karagumruk vs Eyupspor
1:2
Nov 22, 2025 Super Lig
Eyupspor vs F. Karagumruk
1:1
Mar 11, 2016 2. Lig Red Group
Eyupspor vs F. Karagumruk
1:0
Oct 30, 2015 2. Lig Red Group
F. Karagumruk vs Eyupspor
2:1
Jan 25, 1992 1. Lig
F. Karagumruk vs Eyupspor
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

F. Karagumruk Compare

Top Goalscorer Serginho
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Eyupspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Legowski M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

F. Karagumruk 95 / 100
Eyupspor 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
F. Karagumruk Eyupspor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick F. Karagumruk Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

F. Karagumruk scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Eyupspor has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Solid form: F. Karagumruk remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

F. Karagumruk VS Eyupspor
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

F. Karagumruk

(Home)
19 Sept
Erokspor
0 : 2
F. Karagumruk
13 Sept
F. Karagumruk
1 : 1
Manisa FK
06 Sept
Batman Petrolspor
4 : 3
F. Karagumruk
02 Sept
F. Karagumruk
1 : 1
Kayserispor
29 Aug
Istanbulspor AS
1 : 1
F. Karagumruk
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Eyupspor

(Away)
20 Sept
Fenerbahce
8 : 0
Eyupspor
12 Sept
Eyupspor
0 : 2
Rizespor
06 Sept
Corum FK
3 : 0
Eyupspor
30 Aug
Eyupspor
2 : 1
Alanyaspor
23 Aug
Eyupspor
0 : 1
Gaziantep
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Galatasaray 34 24 5 5 77:30 77
2 Fenerbahce 34 21 11 2 77:37 74
3 Trabzonspor 34 20 9 5 61:39 69
4 Besiktas 34 17 9 8 59:40 60
5 Basaksehir 34 16 9 9 58:35 57
6 Goztepe 34 14 13 7 42:32 55
7 Samsunspor 34 13 12 9 46:45 51
8 Rizespor 34 10 11 13 46:52 41
9 Konyaspor 34 10 10 14 43:50 40
10 Kocaelispor 34 9 10 15 26:38 37
11 Alanyaspor 34 7 16 11 41:41 37
12 Gaziantep 34 9 10 15 43:58 37
13 Kasimpasa 34 8 11 15 33:49 35
14 Genclerbirligi 34 9 7 18 36:47 34
15 Eyupspor 34 8 9 17 33:48 33
16 Antalyaspor 34 8 8 18 33:55 32
17 Kayserispor 34 6 12 16 27:62 30
18 F. Karagumruk 34 8 6 20 31:54 30
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - 1. Lig (Main)