Sport Picks

Turkey

Super Lig 2025/2026 Ataturk Olimpiyat, Istanbul

F. Karagumruk

2 - 0

Fenerbahce

Our Tip

Match Events

15'

Elmaz B.

45'

Serginho

Assist: Lichnovsky I.

46'

Sub

Yuksek I. In: Asensio M.

Out: Yuksek I.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

F. Karagumruk in this Super Lig 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored F. Karagumruk.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

F. Karagumruk

Draws

90%

Fenerbahce

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Fenerbahce

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Fenerbahce have won more games recently than F. Karagumruk.
Win probability leans Fenerbahce's way, sitting at 90%.
Regular Super Lig 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Fenerbahce have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 25%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%

F. Karagumruk Clean Sheet 16%

Fenerbahce Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	F. Karagumruk	Fenerbahce
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	10	19
Draws	7	6
Losses	13	5
Goals Scored	1	2
Goals Conceded	1	1.25
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 13, 2026 Super Lig

F. Karagumruk vs Fenerbahce

2:0

Oct 19, 2025 Super Lig

Fenerbahce vs F. Karagumruk

2:1

Apr 14, 2024 Super Lig

F. Karagumruk vs Fenerbahce

1:2

Nov 26, 2023 Super Lig

Fenerbahce vs F. Karagumruk

2:1

Apr 10, 2023 Super Lig

F. Karagumruk vs Fenerbahce

1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

F. Karagumruk Compare

Top Goalscorer Elmaz B.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Serginho

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.77

Avg xA / game 0.5

Fenerbahce Compare

Avg xG / game 1.82

Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

F. Karagumruk 10 / 100

Fenerbahce 84 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

F. Karagumruk Fenerbahce

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FEN Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

F. Karagumruk scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Fenerbahce has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: F. Karagumruk remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

F. Karagumruk VS Fenerbahce

1 Goals Scored 2

1 Goals Conceded 1.25

57% Over 1.5 75%

57% Over 2.5 75%

0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

F. Karagumruk

(Home)

16 May

F. Karagumruk

2 : 1

Alanyaspor

09 May

Kocaelispor

0 : 1

F. Karagumruk

03 May

F. Karagumruk

1 : 0

Genclerbirligi

27 Apr

Besiktas

0 : 0

F. Karagumruk

18 Apr

F. Karagumruk

1 : 2

Eyupspor

Page 1 of 6

Fenerbahce

(Away)

21 Jul

Fenerbahce

1 : 0

Gornik Zabrze

14 Jul

LASK Linz

1 : 2

Fenerbahce

11 Jul

Fenerbahce

4 : 0

Pogon Szczecin

08 Jul

Admira

0 : 5

Fenerbahce

17 May

Fenerbahce

3 : 3

Eyupspor

Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Scroll horizontally →

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Galatasaray	34	24	5	5	77:30	77
2	Fenerbahce	34	21	11	2	77:37	74
3	Trabzonspor	34	20	9	5	61:39	69
4	Besiktas	34	17	9	8	59:40	60
5	Basaksehir	34	16	9	9	58:35	57
6	Goztepe	34	14	13	7	42:32	55
7	Samsunspor	34	13	12	9	46:45	51
8	Rizespor	34	10	11	13	46:52	41
9	Konyaspor	34	10	10	14	43:50	40
10	Kocaelispor	34	9	10	15	26:38	37
11	Alanyaspor	34	7	16	11	41:41	37
12	Gaziantep	34	9	10	15	43:58	37
13	Kasimpasa	34	8	11	15	33:49	35
14	Genclerbirligi	34	9	7	18	36:47	34
15	Eyupspor	34	8	9	17	33:48	33
16	Antalyaspor	34	8	8	18	33:55	32
17	Kayserispor	34	6	12	16	27:62	30
18	F. Karagumruk	34	8	6	20	31:54	30

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)

Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)

Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)

Relegation - 1. Lig (Main)