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F. Karagumruk vs Kayserispor - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

1. Lig Yusuf Ziya Onis, Istanbul
Our Tip

Match Events

28'
Sub
Hasani F. In: Dulca M.
Out: Hasani F.
46'
Sub
Verde D. In: Cukur T.
Out: Verde D.
46'
Sub
Ucar M. In: Radu D.
Out: Ucar M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this 1. Lig matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
F. Karagumruk
30%
Draws
51%
Kayserispor
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Kayserispor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Kayserispor lately — more wins on the board than F. Karagumruk.
  • Win probability leans Kayserispor's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular 1. Lig form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
F. Karagumruk Clean Sheet 14%
Kayserispor Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric F. Karagumruk Kayserispor
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 10 12
Draws 6 4
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.18 1.18
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 2, 2026 1. Lig
F. Karagumruk vs Kayserispor
1:1
Mar 19, 2026 Super Lig
Kayserispor vs F. Karagumruk
1:0
Oct 24, 2025 Super Lig
F. Karagumruk vs Kayserispor
2:2
May 4, 2024 Super Lig
Kayserispor vs F. Karagumruk
2:2
Jan 10, 2024 Super Lig
F. Karagumruk vs Kayserispor
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

F. Karagumruk Compare

Top Goalscorer Biraschi D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Kayserispor Compare

Top Goalscorer Seferi T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

F. Karagumruk 11 / 100
Kayserispor 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
F. Karagumruk Kayserispor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kayserispor Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

F. Karagumruk's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Kayserispor let in goals in 61% of their last 28 matches.

Solid form: F. Karagumruk remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

F. Karagumruk VS Kayserispor
1.63 Goals Scored 1.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

F. Karagumruk

(Home)
03 Oct
Kasimpasa
2 : 1
F. Karagumruk
19 Sept
Erokspor
0 : 2
F. Karagumruk
13 Sept
F. Karagumruk
1 : 1
Manisa FK
06 Sept
Batman Petrolspor
4 : 3
F. Karagumruk
02 Sept
F. Karagumruk
1 : 1
Kayserispor
Page 1 of 6

Kayserispor

(Away)
10 Oct
Kayserispor
3 : 2
Manisa FK
20 Sept
Mardin 1969
0 : 1
Kayserispor
14 Sept
Kayserispor
4 : 0
Istanbulspor AS
07 Sept
Erokspor
0 : 3
Kayserispor
02 Sept
F. Karagumruk
1 : 1
Kayserispor
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kayserispor 9 7 1 1 18:5 22
2 Bursaspor 8 6 1 1 16:7 19
3 Igdir FK 9 6 1 2 14:8 19
4 Keciorengucu 9 4 4 1 19:10 16
5 Batman Petrolspor 9 5 1 3 16:15 16
6 Antalyaspor 9 5 0 4 15:13 15
7 Sariyer 9 4 3 2 12:10 15
8 Bandirmaspor 9 3 4 2 14:5 13
9 Mardin 1969 8 3 3 2 9:5 12
10 F. Karagumruk 8 3 3 2 12:11 12
11 Sivasspor 9 2 5 2 13:12 11
12 Muglaspor 8 2 5 1 8:7 11
13 Pendikspor 9 2 4 3 11:17 10
14 Manisa FK 9 2 3 4 14:15 9
15 Bodrumspor 9 1 5 3 7:8 8
16 Erokspor 9 1 5 3 5:10 8
17 Umraniyespor 9 1 4 4 7:10 7
18 Istanbulspor AS 9 1 2 6 7:20 5
19 Vanspor FK 9 1 3 5 8:19 4
20 Boluspor 9 0 1 8 3:21 1
Promotion - Super Lig 2027/2028 (Main)
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