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F. Karagumruk vs Rizespor

Turkey Turkey

Super Lig 2025/2026 Ataturk Olimpiyat
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Serginho
Assist: Verde D.
58'
Akaydin S.
60'
Sub
Olawoyin I. In: Sowe A.
Out: Olawoyin I.

AI Match Summary

F. Karagumruk in this Super Lig 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored F. Karagumruk.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
F. Karagumruk
39%
Draws
31%
Rizespor
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Rizespor lately — more wins on the board than F. Karagumruk.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
F. Karagumruk Clean Sheet 68%
Rizespor Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric F. Karagumruk Rizespor
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 10 12
Draws 8 7
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 0.88 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 Super Lig
F. Karagumruk vs Rizespor
2:1
Nov 3, 2025 Super Lig
Rizespor vs F. Karagumruk
1:0
Jan 7, 2025 Turkish Cup
F. Karagumruk vs Rizespor
1:0
Jan 28, 2024 Super Lig
F. Karagumruk vs Rizespor
4:0
Sep 1, 2023 Super Lig
Rizespor vs F. Karagumruk
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

F. Karagumruk Compare

Top Goalscorer Serginho
1 Goals
Assists Leader Babicka S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Rizespor Compare

Top Goalscorer Sowe A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

F. Karagumruk 41 / 100
Rizespor 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
F. Karagumruk Rizespor

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rizespor has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Attacking prowess: F. Karagumruk scored in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: F. Karagumruk remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

F. Karagumruk VS Rizespor
0.88 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Galatasaray34245577:3077
2Fenerbahce342111277:3774
3Trabzonspor34209561:3969
4Besiktas34179859:4060
5Basaksehir34169958:3557
6Goztepe341413742:3255
7Samsunspor341312946:4551
8Rizespor3410111346:5241
9Konyaspor3410101443:5040
10Kocaelispor349101526:3837
11Alanyaspor347161141:4137
12Gaziantep349101543:5837
13Kasimpasa348111533:4935
14Genclerbirligi34971836:4734
15Eyupspor34891733:4833
16Antalyaspor34881833:5532
17Kayserispor346121627:6230
18F. Karagumruk34862031:5430