Sport Picks
F. Karagumruk vs Samsunspor
Turkey
Super Lig 2025/2026 Ataturk Olimpiyat, Istanbul 
Match Events
58'
58'
Mendes J.
73'
73'
Sub
Ozcan B. In: Cukur T.
Out: Ozcan B.
73'
73'
Sub
Babicka S. In: Serginho
Out: Babicka S.
AI Match Summary
The Super Lig 2025/2026 game between F. Karagumruk and Samsunspor finished 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
42%
20%
38%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: F. Karagumruk
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
67%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Samsunspor come out ahead of F. Karagumruk on wins alone.
- Win probability leans F. Karagumruk's way, sitting at 42%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
F. Karagumruk Clean Sheet 17%
Samsunspor Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | F. Karagumruk | Samsunspor |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 15 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 13 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.00 | 1.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 22, 2026 Super Lig
F. Karagumruk vs Samsunspor
0:0
Sep 21, 2025 Super Lig
Samsunspor vs F. Karagumruk
3:2
May 25, 2024 Super Lig
F. Karagumruk vs Samsunspor
3:1
Feb 6, 2024 Turkish Cup
F. Karagumruk vs Samsunspor
2:1
Jan 6, 2024 Super Lig
Samsunspor vs F. Karagumruk
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
F. Karagumruk 41 / 100
Samsunspor 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
F. Karagumruk Samsunspor
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
F. Karagumruk found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).
Samsunspor let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.
F. Karagumruk went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
F. Karagumruk VS Samsunspor
1 Goals Scored 1.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.88
57% Over 1.5 88%
57% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
F. Karagumruk
(Home) 16 May
F. Karagumruk
2 : 1 Alanyaspor
09 May
Kocaelispor
0 : 1 F. Karagumruk
03 May
F. Karagumruk
1 : 0 Genclerbirligi
27 Apr
Besiktas
0 : 0 F. Karagumruk
18 Apr
F. Karagumruk
1 : 2 Eyupspor
Page 1 of 6
16 May
F. Karagumruk
2 : 1 Alanyaspor
03 May
F. Karagumruk
1 : 0 Genclerbirligi
18 Apr
F. Karagumruk
1 : 2 Eyupspor
05 Apr
F. Karagumruk
2 : 1 Rizespor
13 Mar
F. Karagumruk
2 : 0 Fenerbahce
Page 1 of 3
Samsunspor
(Away) 22 Jul
Dunkerque
2 : 1 Samsunspor
16 May
Samsunspor
3 : 0 Goztepe
09 May
Basaksehir
3 : 0 Samsunspor
02 May
Samsunspor
4 : 1 Galatasaray
27 Apr
Alanyaspor
2 : 3 Samsunspor
Page 1 of 6
22 Jul
Dunkerque
2 : 1 Samsunspor
09 May
Basaksehir
3 : 0 Samsunspor
27 Apr
Alanyaspor
2 : 3 Samsunspor
13 Apr
Eyupspor
1 : 2 Samsunspor
09 Apr
Rizespor
4 : 1 Samsunspor
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Galatasaray | 34 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 77:30 | 77 |
| 2 | Fenerbahce | 34 | 21 | 11 | 2 | 77:37 | 74 |
| 3 | Trabzonspor | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 61:39 | 69 |
| 4 | Besiktas | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 59:40 | 60 |
| 5 | Basaksehir | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 58:35 | 57 |
| 6 | Goztepe | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 42:32 | 55 |
| 7 | Samsunspor | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 46:45 | 51 |
| 8 | Rizespor | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 46:52 | 41 |
| 9 | Konyaspor | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 43:50 | 40 |
| 10 | Kocaelispor | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 26:38 | 37 |
| 11 | Alanyaspor | 34 | 7 | 16 | 11 | 41:41 | 37 |
| 12 | Gaziantep | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 43:58 | 37 |
| 13 | Kasimpasa | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 33:49 | 35 |
| 14 | Genclerbirligi | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 36:47 | 34 |
| 15 | Eyupspor | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 33:48 | 33 |
| 16 | Antalyaspor | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 33:55 | 32 |
| 17 | Kayserispor | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 27:62 | 30 |
| 18 | F. Karagumruk | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 31:54 | 30 |
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - 1. Lig (Main)