Sport Picks

F. Karagumruk vs Soma Spor - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey

Turkish Cup

Soma Spor

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Turkish Cup. This one's hard to separate. F. Karagumruk have averaged 1.18 scored and 1.39 conceded recently, against Soma Spor's 1.54 scored and 1.82 conceded. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. Model xG sits at 1.40 vs 1.54, favoring F. Karagumruk. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%

F. Karagumruk

30%

Draws

47%

Soma Spor

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Soma Spor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence

Soma Spor average 1.54 goals a game right now, well clear of F. Karagumruk's 1.18.
Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 35%

Over 4.5 Goals 16%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%

F. Karagumruk Clean Sheet 15%

Soma Spor Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	F. Karagumruk	Soma Spor
Matches Played	28	28
Wins	10	10
Draws	6	5
Losses	12	13
Goals Scored	1.18	1.54
Goals Conceded	1.39	1.82
Expected Goals (xG)	1.40	1.54
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

F. Karagumruk 35 / 100

Soma Spor 20 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

F. Karagumruk Soma Spor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Soma Spor Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

F. Karagumruk scored in 82% of their last 28 games.

Soma Spor let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

F. Karagumruk has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Soma Spor's recent record shows 1 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

F. Karagumruk VS Soma Spor

1.5 Goals Scored 1.71

1.38 Goals Conceded 1.29

88% Over 1.5 57%

50% Over 2.5 57%

13% Over 3.5 57%

Recent Form & Match History

F. Karagumruk

(Home)

03 Oct

Kasimpasa

2 : 1

F. Karagumruk

19 Sept

Erokspor

0 : 2

F. Karagumruk

13 Sept

F. Karagumruk

1 : 1

Manisa FK

06 Sept

Batman Petrolspor

4 : 3

F. Karagumruk

02 Sept

F. Karagumruk

1 : 1

Kayserispor

Page 1 of 6

Soma Spor

(Away)

07 Oct

Soma Spor

4 : 2

Alanya 1221

26 Sept

Ankaraspor

0 : 1

Soma Spor

20 Sept

Soma Spor

1 : 3

Musspor

12 Sept

Inegol Kafkas

1 : 3

Soma Spor

06 Sept

Soma Spor

3 : 3

Aksaray Bld.

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/16-finals

Sakaryaspor -

TBD -

SinopSpor 0

Arit Kayadibi 3

Bursa Yildirimspor -

TBD -

Amasyaspor 10

Cankirigucu 0

Elazigspor -

TBD -

Erciyes 38 -

TBD -

Kilis Birlikgucu 0

Kahta 2

Kastamonuspor -

TBD -

24Erzincanspor -

Tokat Bld Plevnespor 3

Kesap 0

TBD -

Etimesgut -

TBD -

Gaziantep -

Sariyer -

TBD -

Altay 2

Soke 1970 4

TBD -

Ayvalikgucu -

Nigde -

TBD -

Agri 1970 -

TBD -

Istanbulspor AS -

Bigaspor -

TBD -

Balikesirspor -

TBD -

Arnavutkoy Bl. -

Bucaspor 1928 0

Gaziemir Spor Kulubu 4

TBD -

Fethiyespor -

TBD -

Eyupspor -

Zonguldak Komurspor -

TBD -

Duzcespor -

TBD -

Isparta 32 Spor -

Eskisehirspor -

TBD -

Aksehirspor -

TBD -

Igdir FK -

Kocaelispor -

TBD -

Mazidagi -

TBD -

Kirikkale FK 0

Kirsehir SK 3

Adana 01 -

TBD -

Kutahyaspor -

Osmaniyespor -

TBD -

Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu 5

Bucak Belediyesi 1

TBD -

Musspor -

Pazarspor -

TBD -

Erbaaspor -

TBD -

Aliaga -

Alanyaspor -

TBD -

12 Bingol Spor -

Inegolspor -

TBD -

Sebat Spor Kulubu -

Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu -

TBD -

Serik Spor -

Cizre Belediyesi -

Hakkari Zap -

TBD -

Adanademirspor -

Orduspor 1967 10

Torul Belediye Genclik Ve Spor 0

TBD -

Karadeniz Eregli -

TBD -

Vanspor FK -

Ankara Demirspor -

TBD -

Gemlikspor -

TBD -

Usak Belediyespor Kulubu -

Genclerbirligi -

TBD -

Hatayspor -

TBD -

Karakopru -

Karabuk Idmanyurdu -

TBD -

Inkilap Futbol Spor Kulubu 1

Beykoz Anadolu 3

TBD -

Iskenderunspor -

Ankaraspor -

TBD -

Kirklarelispor -

TBD -

Bayburt Spor Kulubu 3

Borcka Spor 0

Menemenspor -

TBD -

Karacabey Bld. -

TBD -

Galata Spor Kulubu 2

Yesil Yalova FK 1

Umraniyespor -

TBD -

Kucukcekmece -

TBD -

Buyukcekmece Gucu -

Sanliurfaspor -

TBD -

Golcukspor -

TBD -

Yozgat -

Inegol Kafkas -

TBD -

K. Istklalspor -

Silivrispor -

TBD -

Uzunkopruspor Kulubu 1

Bulvarspor 5

TBD -

Beyoglu Yeni Carsi -

Kasimpasa -

TBD -

Corluspor -

F. Karagumruk -

TBD -

Soma Spor -

TBD -

Alanya 1221 -

Adanaspor AS -

Yeni Malatyaspor -

TBD -

Adana Adaletgucu -

TBD -

Ankaragucu -

Bitlis 1916 -

TBD -

Silifke -

TBD -

Kayserispor -

Gole Spor 0

Kars 36 Spor 5

TBD -

Fatsa Bld. -

TBD -

Antalyaspor -

Boluspor -

TBD -

Karsiyaka -

TBD -

Afyonkarahisaspor 2

Urgupspor Kulubu 1

52 Orduspor -

TBD -

Trabzon FK -

Guzide Gebzespor -

TBD -

Malatya -

TBD -

Dersim Spor 0

Gelecek Siirt 3

Osmaneli Belediyespor 0

Eskisehir Anadolu 1

Karaman FK 2

Kepez Bld. 3

TBD -

Aksaray Bld. -

TBD -

1/8-finals

Sakaryaspor 2

Arit Kayadibi 0

Bursa Yildirimspor 2

Amasyaspor 0

Elazigspor -

TBD -

Erciyes 38 2

Kahta 0

Kastamonuspor -

TBD -

24Erzincanspor -

Tokat Bld Plevnespor 1

Etimesgut 5

TBD -

Gaziantep -

Sariyer -

TBD -

Soke 1970 1

Ayvalikgucu 2

Nigde 0

Agri 1970 2

TBD -

Istanbulspor AS -

Bigaspor 0

Balikesirspor 3

TBD -

Arnavutkoy Bl. -

Gaziemir Spor Kulubu 0

Fethiyespor 2

TBD -

Eyupspor -

Zonguldak Komurspor 0

Duzcespor 1

TBD -

Isparta 32 Spor -

Eskisehirspor 4

Aksehirspor 1

TBD -

Igdir FK -

Kocaelispor -

TBD -

Mazidagi 1

Kirsehir SK 0

Adana 01 -

TBD -

Kutahyaspor -

Osmaniyespor 0

Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu 3

TBD -

Musspor -

Pazarspor 3

Erbaaspor 1

TBD -

Aliaga -

Alanyaspor -

TBD -

12 Bingol Spor -

Inegolspor -

TBD -

Sebat Spor Kulubu -

Denizli Idmanyurdu Gureller Spor Kulubu 0

Serik Spor 1

Hakkari Zap 6

Adanademirspor 1

Orduspor 1967 4

Karadeniz Eregli 1

TBD -

Vanspor FK -

Ankara Demirspor -

TBD -

Gemlikspor 2

Usak Belediyespor Kulubu 0

Genclerbirligi -

TBD -

Hatayspor 1

Karakopru 2

Karabuk Idmanyurdu 1

Beykoz Anadolu 0

TBD -

Iskenderunspor -

Ankaraspor -

TBD -

Kirklarelispor 1

Bayburt Spor Kulubu 0

Menemenspor -

TBD -

Karacabey Bld. 3

Galata Spor Kulubu 2

Umraniyespor -

TBD -

Kucukcekmece 5

Buyukcekmece Gucu 1

Sanliurfaspor -

TBD -

Golcukspor 2

Yozgat 0

Inegol Kafkas -

TBD -

K. Istklalspor -

Silivrispor 3

Bulvarspor 2

TBD -

Beyoglu Yeni Carsi -

Kasimpasa -

TBD -

Corluspor -

F. Karagumruk -

TBD -

Soma Spor 4

Alanya 1221 2

Adanaspor AS 0

Adana Adaletgucu 2

TBD -

Ankaragucu -

Bitlis 1916 6

Silifke 0

TBD -

Kayserispor -

Kars 36 Spor 1

Fatsa Bld. 0

TBD -

Antalyaspor -

Boluspor -

TBD -

Karsiyaka 3

Afyonkarahisaspor 1

52 Orduspor -

TBD -

Trabzon FK -

Guzide Gebzespor -

TBD -

Malatya 3

Gelecek Siirt 1

Eskisehir Anadolu 4

Kepez Bld. 2

TBD -

Aksaray Bld. -

TBD -

Quarter-finals

Sakaryaspor -

Bursa Yildirimspor -

Elazigspor -

Erciyes 38 -

Kastamonuspor -

24Erzincanspor -

Etimesgut -

Gaziantep -

Sariyer -

Ayvalikgucu -

Agri 1970 -

Istanbulspor AS -

Balikesirspor -

Arnavutkoy Bl. -

Fethiyespor -

Eyupspor -

Duzcespor -

Isparta 32 Spor -

Eskisehirspor -

Igdir FK -

Kocaelispor -

Mazidagi -

Adana 01 -

Kutahyaspor -

Yeni Mersin Idmanyurdu -

Musspor -

Pazarspor -

Aliaga -

Alanyaspor -

12 Bingol Spor -

Inegolspor -

Sebat Spor Kulubu -

Serik Spor -

Hakkari Zap -

Orduspor 1967 -

Vanspor FK -

Ankara Demirspor -

Gemlikspor -

Genclerbirligi -

Karakopru -

Karabuk Idmanyurdu -

Iskenderunspor -

Ankaraspor -

Kirklarelispor -

Menemenspor -

Karacabey Bld. -

Umraniyespor -

Kucukcekmece -

Sanliurfaspor -

Golcukspor -

Inegol Kafkas -

K. Istklalspor -

Silivrispor -

Beyoglu Yeni Carsi -

Kasimpasa -

Corluspor -

F. Karagumruk -

Soma Spor -

Adana Adaletgucu -

Ankaragucu -

Bitlis 1916 -

Kayserispor -

Kars 36 Spor -

Antalyaspor -

Boluspor -

Karsiyaka -

52 Orduspor -

Trabzon FK -

Guzide Gebzespor -

Malatya -

Eskisehir Anadolu -

Aksaray Bld. -

TBD -

Semi-finals

TBD -

Final

TBD -

F. Karagumruk vs Soma Spor - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey

F. Karagumruk

Soma Spor

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

F. Karagumruk

Soma Spor

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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