Sport Picks
F. Karagumruk vs Umraniyespor Prediction & H2H Stats
Turkey
1. Lig Yusuf Ziya Onis, Istanbul 
Match Events
8'
8'
Goksu S.
28'
28'
Bostan M.
46'
46'
Sub
Bostan M. In: Tasci T.
Out: Bostan M.
AI Match Summary
The 1. Lig game between F. Karagumruk and Umraniyespor finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward F. Karagumruk.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
35%
26%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: F. Karagumruk
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- F. Karagumruk carry the better recent record into this one.
- 39% — that's where the model lands on F. Karagumruk taking it.
- Regular 1. Lig form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- F. Karagumruk have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
F. Karagumruk Clean Sheet 68%
Umraniyespor Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | F. Karagumruk | Umraniyespor |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 9 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 12 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.23 | 1.33 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.4 | 1.3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 15, 2026 1. Lig
F. Karagumruk vs Umraniyespor
2:1
Feb 9, 2025 1. Lig
F. Karagumruk vs Umraniyespor
1:0
Dec 18, 2024 Turkish Cup
Umraniyespor vs F. Karagumruk
1:2
Aug 31, 2024 1. Lig
Umraniyespor vs F. Karagumruk
2:2
Apr 18, 2023 Super Lig
F. Karagumruk vs Umraniyespor
4:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
F. Karagumruk Compare
Top Goalscorer Pesic A.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Umraniyespor Compare
Top Goalscorer Soukou C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
F. Karagumruk 68 / 100
Umraniyespor 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
F. Karagumruk Umraniyespor
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick F. Karagumruk Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
F. Karagumruk found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).
Games between these two average 3.40 goals.
Umraniyespor's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.
F. Karagumruk went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
F. Karagumruk VS Umraniyespor
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
F. Karagumruk
(Home) 19 Sept
Erokspor
0 : 2 F. Karagumruk
13 Sept
F. Karagumruk
1 : 1 Manisa FK
06 Sept
Batman Petrolspor
4 : 3 F. Karagumruk
02 Sept
F. Karagumruk
1 : 1 Kayserispor
29 Aug
Istanbulspor AS
1 : 1 F. Karagumruk
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
F. Karagumruk
1 : 1 Manisa FK
02 Sept
F. Karagumruk
1 : 1 Kayserispor
21 Aug
F. Karagumruk
2 : 1 Bursaspor
15 Aug
F. Karagumruk
2 : 1 Umraniyespor
16 May
F. Karagumruk
2 : 1 Alanyaspor
Page 1 of 3
Umraniyespor
(Away) 18 Sept
Bandirmaspor
0 : 1 Umraniyespor
12 Sept
Umraniyespor
1 : 2 Antalyaspor
05 Sept
Pendikspor
1 : 0 Umraniyespor
01 Sept
Umraniyespor
0 : 1 Muglaspor
28 Aug
Keciorengucu
2 : 2 Umraniyespor
Page 1 of 6
18 Sept
Bandirmaspor
0 : 1 Umraniyespor
05 Sept
Pendikspor
1 : 0 Umraniyespor
28 Aug
Keciorengucu
2 : 2 Umraniyespor
15 Aug
F. Karagumruk
2 : 1 Umraniyespor
25 Apr
Adanademirspor
1 : 3 Umraniyespor
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kayserispor | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 15:3 | 19 |
| 2 | Bursaspor | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 16:7 | 19 |
| 3 | Igdir FK | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 12:7 | 16 |
| 4 | Batman Petrolspor | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 15:13 | 16 |
| 5 | Sariyer | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11:9 | 14 |
| 6 | Keciorengucu | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 17:10 | 13 |
| 7 | Mardin 1969 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9:5 | 12 |
| 8 | Antalyaspor | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 14:13 | 12 |
| 9 | F. Karagumruk | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12:11 | 12 |
| 10 | Muglaspor | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 8:7 | 11 |
| 11 | Bandirmaspor | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 12:5 | 10 |
| 12 | Pendikspor | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 10:13 | 10 |
| 13 | Manisa FK | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12:12 | 9 |
| 14 | Bodrumspor | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 7:6 | 8 |
| 15 | Sivasspor | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 9:11 | 8 |
| 16 | Umraniyespor | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6:9 | 6 |
| 17 | Erokspor | 8 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 4:10 | 5 |
| 18 | Istanbulspor AS | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7:19 | 5 |
| 19 | Vanspor FK | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8:17 | 4 |
| 20 | Boluspor | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3:20 | 1 |
Promotion - Super Lig 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - 1. Lig (Play Offs)
Promotion - 1. Lig (Play Offs)
