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FA Siauliai vs FC Hegelmann - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Lithuania Lithuania

TOPLYGA Siauliai central stadium, Šiauliai
Our Tip

Match Events

18'
Dapkus M.
19' Event
Armanavicius V.
(Penalty)
23' Event
Wesley
Assist: Oum Gouet S.

AI Match Summary

FC Hegelmann in this TOPLYGA matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Hegelmann.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
FA Siauliai
35%
Draws
52%
FC Hegelmann
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: FC Hegelmann

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • FA Siauliai have won more games recently than FC Hegelmann.
  • Model gives FC Hegelmann a 52% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
FA Siauliai Clean Sheet 11%
FC Hegelmann Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FA Siauliai FC Hegelmann
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 5
Draws 6 13
Losses 17 12
Goals Scored 1.07 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 TOPLYGA
FA Siauliai vs FC Hegelmann
0:0
Jul 24, 2026 TOPLYGA
FA Siauliai vs FC Hegelmann
0:2
May 9, 2026 TOPLYGA
FC Hegelmann vs FA Siauliai
1:1
Mar 11, 2026 TOPLYGA
FC Hegelmann vs FA Siauliai
1:1
Sep 14, 2025 TOPLYGA
FA Siauliai vs FC Hegelmann
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FA Siauliai Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

FC Hegelmann Compare

Top Goalscorer Wesley
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FA Siauliai 22 / 100
FC Hegelmann 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FA Siauliai FC Hegelmann

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Hegelmann Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Hegelmann let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

FA Siauliai found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.

FA Siauliai has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

FA Siauliai VS FC Hegelmann
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
2.38 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

FA Siauliai

(Home)
20 Sept
FA Siauliai
0 : 2
FK Kauno Zalgiris
13 Sept
FA Siauliai
0 : 0
FC Hegelmann
06 Sept
Zalgiris
1 : 0
FA Siauliai
03 Sept
FA Siauliai
0 : 1
FK Kauno Zalgiris
30 Aug
FA Siauliai
1 : 2
Suduva
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FC Hegelmann

(Away)
20 Sept
FC Hegelmann
1 : 1
Suduva
13 Sept
FA Siauliai
0 : 0
FC Hegelmann
07 Sept
FC Hegelmann
1 : 3
FK Panevezys
31 Aug
Dziugas Telsiai
2 : 2
FC Hegelmann
23 Aug
FC Hegelmann
1 : 1
Banga
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Kauno Zalgiris 28 14 9 5 56:20 51
2 Suduva 29 13 11 5 39:29 50
3 Zalgiris 29 14 5 10 45:34 47
4 Transinvest 28 13 6 9 43:35 45
5 Banga 28 11 8 9 32:28 41
6 Dziugas Telsiai 28 10 8 10 36:40 38
7 FK Panevezys 28 9 5 14 29:43 32
8 FC Hegelmann 29 4 14 11 31:48 26
9 FA Siauliai 29 3 8 18 24:58 17
10 Riteriai 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - TOPLYGA (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga 2027 (Main)