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FA Siauliai vs FC Pakruojis

Lithuania Lithuania

I Lyga 2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FA Siauliai play FC Pakruojis in the I Lyga 2019. FA Siauliai are favorites here. Recently, FA Siauliai averaged 1.47 goals scored and 1.61 conceded. FC Pakruojis averaged 0.9 goals scored and 5.07 conceded. In past meetings, FA Siauliai won 1, FC Pakruojis won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Aug 30, 2019 ended 7:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.23 for FA Siauliai and 1.31 for FC Pakruojis. This points to a FA Siauliai double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

62%
FA Siauliai
21%
Draws
17%
FC Pakruojis
Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: FA Siauliai

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • FA Siauliai picked up more points recently compared to FC Pakruojis.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.23 vs 1.31 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 65%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 65%
Over 3.5 Goals 39%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62%
FA Siauliai Clean Sheet 18%
FC Pakruojis Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 76%
Second Half Goal 80%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FA Siauliai FC Pakruojis
Matches Played 38 29
Wins 12 3
Draws 10 4
Losses 16 22
Goals Scored 1.47 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.61 5.07

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2019 I Lyga
FA Siauliai vs FC Pakruojis
7:1
May 12, 2019 I Lyga
FC Pakruojis vs FA Siauliai
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FA Siauliai Compare

Top Goalscorer Konikas D.
4 Goals
Assists Leader Kubilinskas D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

FC Pakruojis Compare

Top Goalscorer Muratov A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FA Siauliai 59 / 100
FC Pakruojis 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FA Siauliai FC Pakruojis

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FA Siauliai Win (1)
Secondary Pick FA Siauliai & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +14.7%
1.85
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.9%
1.69
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

FA Siauliai attacking → ← attacking FC Pakruojis

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FA Siauliai scored in 74% of their last 38 games.

FC Pakruojis let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

FA Siauliai went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

FC Pakruojis lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

46 Points in last 5 13
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Dziugas Telsiai28194558:2361
2Banga28175657:2456
3Vilniaus Vytis28174774:3155
4Dainava Alytus28172964:3253
5Nevezis Kedainiai28164866:3752
6FA Siauliai28145961:3747
7FC Hegelmann28128857:4244
8FK Minija281251154:4941
9Jonava281241255:4640
10Kupiskis281061249:5636
11BFA Vilnius281031556:5333
12Riteriai 228951461:4932
13Zalgiris 228641843:8322
14FK Atmosfera28342123:9613
15FC Pakruojis28332225:14512
16FC Stumbras 200000:00