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FA Siauliai vs FK Kauno Zalgiris - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Lithuania Lithuania

TOPLYGA Siauliai central stadium, Šiauliai
FA Siauliai Logo

FA Siauliai

0 - 2
FT
FK Kauno Zalgiris Logo

FK Kauno Zalgiris

Our Tip

Match Events

38'
Hasanovic D.
40'
Burba M.
53' Event
Burba M.
Assist: Kalik A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The TOPLYGA game between FA Siauliai and FK Kauno Zalgiris finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FK Kauno Zalgiris.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
FA Siauliai
15%
Draws
78%
FK Kauno Zalgiris
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FK Kauno Zalgiris

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / Very High Confidence
  • FK Kauno Zalgiris carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 78% — that's where the model lands on FK Kauno Zalgiris taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • FK Kauno Zalgiris have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
FA Siauliai Clean Sheet 16%
FK Kauno Zalgiris Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FA Siauliai FK Kauno Zalgiris
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 7 14
Draws 6 8
Losses 17 7
Goals Scored 1.07 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.73 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 TOPLYGA
FA Siauliai vs FK Kauno Zalgiris
0:2
Sep 3, 2026 Lithuanian Cup
FA Siauliai vs FK Kauno Zalgiris
0:1
Jul 18, 2026 TOPLYGA
FK Kauno Zalgiris vs FA Siauliai
4:0
May 16, 2026 TOPLYGA
FK Kauno Zalgiris vs FA Siauliai
0:0
Mar 15, 2026 TOPLYGA
FA Siauliai vs FK Kauno Zalgiris
0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FA Siauliai Compare

Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

FK Kauno Zalgiris Compare

Top Goalscorer Burba M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Baldassarra F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FA Siauliai 10 / 100
FK Kauno Zalgiris 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FA Siauliai FK Kauno Zalgiris

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Kauno Zalgiris Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FA Siauliai scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

FK Kauno Zalgiris's defensive record shows goals conceded in 48% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: FA Siauliai stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FA Siauliai VS FK Kauno Zalgiris
0.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

FA Siauliai

(Home)
20 Sept
FA Siauliai
0 : 2
FK Kauno Zalgiris
13 Sept
FA Siauliai
0 : 0
FC Hegelmann
06 Sept
Zalgiris
1 : 0
FA Siauliai
03 Sept
FA Siauliai
0 : 1
FK Kauno Zalgiris
30 Aug
FA Siauliai
1 : 2
Suduva
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FK Kauno Zalgiris

(Away)
20 Sept
FA Siauliai
0 : 2
FK Kauno Zalgiris
16 Sept
Zalgiris
3 : 2
FK Kauno Zalgiris
13 Sept
FK Panevezys
0 : 1
FK Kauno Zalgiris
09 Sept
FK Kauno Zalgiris
5 : 1
Suduva
06 Sept
FK Kauno Zalgiris
5 : 0
Dziugas Telsiai
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Kauno Zalgiris 28 14 9 5 56:20 51
2 Suduva 28 13 11 4 39:25 50
3 Transinvest 28 13 6 9 43:35 45
4 Zalgiris 28 13 5 10 41:34 44
5 Banga 28 11 8 9 32:28 41
6 Dziugas Telsiai 28 10 8 10 36:40 38
7 FK Panevezys 28 9 5 14 29:43 32
8 FC Hegelmann 29 4 14 11 31:48 26
9 FA Siauliai 29 3 8 18 24:58 17
10 Riteriai 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - TOPLYGA (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga 2027 (Main)