Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FA Siauliai vs Zalgiris

Lithuania Lithuania

TOPLYGA Siauliai central stadium, Šiauliai
FA Siauliai Logo

FA Siauliai

0 - 3
FT
Zalgiris Logo

Zalgiris

Our Tip

Match Events

47' Event
Vukovic L.
Own Goal
57' Event
Petkovic N.
60'
Sub
Novikovas A. In: Pranckus P.
Out: Novikovas A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Zalgiris in this TOPLYGA matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Zalgiris.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
FA Siauliai
15%
Draws
42%
Zalgiris
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FA Siauliai

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Zalgiris lately — more wins on the board than FA Siauliai.
  • Model gives FA Siauliai a 43% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Zalgiris here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
FA Siauliai Clean Sheet 10%
Zalgiris Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FA Siauliai Zalgiris
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 12
Draws 6 5
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 1.14 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2026 TOPLYGA
FA Siauliai vs Zalgiris
0:3
May 6, 2026 TOPLYGA
Zalgiris vs FA Siauliai
3:1
Mar 7, 2026 TOPLYGA
FA Siauliai vs Zalgiris
0:2
Jan 31, 2026 Club Friendly
Zalgiris vs FA Siauliai
4:2
Oct 26, 2025 TOPLYGA
Zalgiris vs FA Siauliai
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FA Siauliai Compare

Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Zalgiris Compare

Top Goalscorer Petkovic N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Capan M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.36

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FA Siauliai 47 / 100
Zalgiris 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FA Siauliai Zalgiris

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FA Siauliai Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

FA Siauliai's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Zalgiris's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Zalgiris lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FA Siauliai VS Zalgiris
0.75 Goals Scored 2.5
2.38 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

FA Siauliai

(Home)
03 Sept
FA Siauliai
0 : 1
FK Kauno Zalgiris
30 Aug
FA Siauliai
1 : 2
Suduva
24 Aug
Transinvest
3 : 0
FA Siauliai
17 Aug
FA Siauliai
1 : 0
FK Panevezys
09 Aug
FA Siauliai
3 : 4
Dziugas Telsiai
Page 1 of 6

Zalgiris

(Away)
30 Aug
FK Panevezys
2 : 0
Zalgiris
23 Aug
Zalgiris
2 : 0
Dziugas Telsiai
16 Aug
Zalgiris
2 : 3
Banga
13 Aug
Hajduk Split
4 : 0
Zalgiris
06 Aug
Zalgiris
2 : 5
Hajduk Split
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Suduva 24 12 9 3 35:18 45
2 FK Kauno Zalgiris 23 10 9 4 41:16 39
3 Transinvest 25 11 6 8 36:32 39
4 Dziugas Telsiai 26 10 8 8 36:33 38
5 Banga 26 10 8 8 29:25 38
6 Zalgiris 24 11 4 9 37:29 37
7 FK Panevezys 26 8 5 13 26:41 29
8 FC Hegelmann 26 4 12 10 29:44 24
9 FA Siauliai 26 3 7 16 24:55 16
10 Riteriai 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - TOPLYGA (Relegation)
Relegation - I Lyga 2027 (Main)