Sport Picks

Lithuania

TOPLYGA Siauliai central stadium

FA Siauliai

0 - 3

Zalgiris

Our Tip

Match Events

47'

Vukovic L.

Own Goal

57'

Petkovic N.

60'

Sub

Novikovas A. In: Pranckus P.

Out: Novikovas A.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Zalgiris in this TOPLYGA matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Zalgiris.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

FA Siauliai

Draws

90%

Zalgiris

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Zalgiris

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Form's been kind to Zalgiris lately — more wins on the board than FA Siauliai.
Model gives Zalgiris a 90% chance of winning this.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
History favors Zalgiris here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%

FA Siauliai Clean Sheet 14%

Zalgiris Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	FA Siauliai	Zalgiris
Matches Played	29	28
Wins	8	13
Draws	8	5
Losses	13	10
Goals Scored	1.75	1.38
Goals Conceded	1.88	1.13
Expected Goals (xG)	1.75	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.88	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2026 TOPLYGA

FA Siauliai vs Zalgiris

Possession: 41% - 56% Cards: 3 - 2

0:3

May 6, 2026 TOPLYGA

Zalgiris vs FA Siauliai

Possession: 59% - 43% Cards: 0 - 1

3:1

Mar 7, 2026 TOPLYGA

FA Siauliai vs Zalgiris

Possession: 42% - 50% Cards: 1 - 1

0:2

Jan 31, 2026 Club Friendly

Zalgiris vs FA Siauliai

Possession: 42% - 53% Cards: 0 - 1

4:2

Oct 26, 2025 TOPLYGA

Zalgiris vs FA Siauliai

Possession: 40% - 44% Cards: 1 - 0

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FA Siauliai Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35

Avg xA / game 0.88

Zalgiris Compare

Top Goalscorer Petkovic N.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Capan M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FA Siauliai 10 / 100

Zalgiris 83 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

FA Siauliai Zalgiris

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ZAL Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

FA Siauliai's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Zalgiris's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.

FA Siauliai went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FA Siauliai VS Zalgiris

1.75 Goals Scored 1.38

1.88 Goals Conceded 1.13

100% Over 1.5 63%

75% Over 2.5 63%

38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	FK Kauno Zalgiris	19	8	7	4	34:15	31
2	Banga	19	8	6	5	22:14	30
3	Suduva	19	7	9	3	21:16	30
4	Dziugas Telsiai	19	8	6	5	28:22	30
5	Transinvest	19	8	5	6	28:25	29
6	Zalgiris	19	8	4	7	27:21	28
7	FC Hegelmann	19	3	10	6	20:29	19
8	FK Panevezys	20	5	4	11	18:37	19
9	FA Siauliai	19	2	7	10	18:37	13
10	Riteriai	0	0	0	0	0:0	0