Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Fabril do Barreiro vs Industria

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Lopez I.
12' Event
Feiteira T.
63' Event
Zequinha

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2024/2025 game between Fabril do Barreiro and Industria finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Fabril do Barreiro
35%
Draws
12%
Industria
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Fabril do Barreiro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Fabril do Barreiro come out ahead of Industria on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Fabril do Barreiro's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Fabril do Barreiro Clean Sheet 68%
Industria Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fabril do Barreiro Industria
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 7 5
Draws 11 10
Losses 12 17
Goals Scored 0.87 1
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 0.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Industria vs Fabril do Barreiro
2:2
Dec 15, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Fabril do Barreiro vs Industria
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fabril do Barreiro Compare

Top Goalscorer Lopez I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hirooka R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

Industria Compare

Top Goalscorer Feiteira T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zequinha
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.73
Avg xA / game 0.44

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fabril do Barreiro 95 / 100
Industria 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fabril do Barreiro Industria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fabril do Barreiro Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Industria's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Fabril do Barreiro remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Difficult form: Industria registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Industria
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Fabril do Barreiro

(Home)
13 Apr
Fabril do Barreiro
2 : 1
Louletano
06 Apr
Industria
2 : 2
Fabril do Barreiro
29 Mar
Fabril do Barreiro
0 : 0
Moncarapachense
16 Mar
Estrela Vendas Novas
1 : 4
Fabril do Barreiro
09 Mar
Fabril do Barreiro
1 : 1
FC Barreirense
Page 1 of 6

Industria

(Away)
18 Apr
Alverca B
5 : 0
Industria
12 Apr
Industria
0 : 0
O Elvas CAD
04 Apr
Juv. Evora
1 : 1
Industria
22 Mar
Industria
1 : 4
Louletano
15 Mar
Sintrense
1 : 0
Industria
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lusitano GC 26 18 4 4 57:14 58
2 Amora 26 17 6 3 41:19 57
3 Sintrense 26 16 4 6 39:26 52
4 Moncarapachense 26 15 6 5 39:19 51
5 Louletano 26 15 5 6 44:20 50
6 Serpa 26 13 6 7 42:27 45
7 Estrela da Amadora B 26 7 9 10 35:31 30
8 Lagoa 26 7 9 10 26:35 30
9 Industria 26 8 5 13 35:42 29
10 Fabril do Barreiro 26 6 9 11 21:32 27
11 Moura AC 26 7 5 14 27:50 26
12 Operario 26 6 5 15 22:43 23
13 FC Barreirense 26 5 7 14 31:47 22
14 Estrela Vendas Novas 26 1 2 23 12:66 5
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025 (Promotion Group)