Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Fajr Sepasi vs Esteghlal TEH

Iran Iran

Persian Gulf Pro League
Our Tip

Match Events

5'
Motlaghzadeh M.
39'
Shahabbasi S.
42' Event
Asani J.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Esteghlal TEH in this Persian Gulf Pro League matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Esteghlal TEH.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Fajr Sepasi
30%
Draws
34%
Esteghlal TEH
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Fajr Sepasi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Fajr Sepasi haven't matched Esteghlal TEH's recent run of results.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Fajr Sepasi taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Esteghlal TEH have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Fajr Sepasi Clean Sheet 20%
Esteghlal TEH Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fajr Sepasi Esteghlal TEH
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 9 14
Draws 7 8
Losses 12 5
Goals Scored 0.88 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 27, 2026 Persian Gulf Pro League
Esteghlal TEH vs Fajr Sepasi
2:1
Oct 26, 2025 Persian Gulf Pro League
Fajr Sepasi vs Esteghlal TEH
0:3
Feb 23, 2022 Persian Gulf Pro League
Esteghlal TEH vs Fajr Sepasi
1:0
Nov 5, 2021 Persian Gulf Pro League
Fajr Sepasi vs Esteghlal TEH
1:1
Oct 17, 2019 Hazfi Cup
Esteghlal TEH vs Fajr Sepasi
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fajr Sepasi Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Esteghlal TEH Compare

Top Goalscorer Goudarzi H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fajr Sepasi 36 / 100
Esteghlal TEH 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fajr Sepasi Esteghlal TEH

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Fajr Sepasi scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Esteghlal TEH conceded in 56% of 27 recent games.

Recent resilience: Fajr Sepasi stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fajr Sepasi VS Esteghlal TEH
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 25%
50% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Fajr Sepasi

(Home)
27 Feb
Esteghlal TEH
2 : 1
Fajr Sepasi
20 Feb
Fajr Sepasi
1 : 0
Shams Azar Qazvin
13 Feb
Esteghlal Khuzestan
1 : 0
Fajr Sepasi
06 Feb
Fajr Sepasi
2 : 1
Tractor
02 Feb
Zob Ahan
2 : 1
Fajr Sepasi
Page 1 of 6

Esteghlal TEH

(Away)
27 Feb
Esteghlal TEH
2 : 1
Fajr Sepasi
22 Feb
Mes Rafsanjan
0 : 1
Esteghlal TEH
17 Feb
Al Hussein
3 : 2
Esteghlal TEH
10 Feb
Esteghlal TEH
0 : 1
Al Hussein
05 Feb
Esteghlal TEH
3 : 2
Shams Azar Qazvin
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Esteghlal TEH22118329:1641
2Tractor22109330:1239
3Sepahan22116524:1339
4Gol Gohar23106724:2436
5Chadormalu2298527:1935
6Persepolis2297623:1934
7Foolad22710521:1631
8Fajr Sepasi2386925:2730
9Kheybar Khorramabad2378822:2429
10Malavan2278713:2129
11Esteghlal Khuzestan2267916:2325
12Paykan2359915:2124
13Shams Azar Qazvin23313715:1922
14Aluminium Arak22571014:2122
15Zob Ahan21310812:1919
16Mes Rafsanjan22361313:2915
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Qualification)
Relegation - Persian Gulf Pro League (Relegation)