Sport Picks

Iran

Division 1 2023/2024

Fajr Sepasi

2 - 0

Khalij Fars Mahshahr

Our Tip

Match Events

43'

Fathi A.

59'

Bouazar A.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Fajr Sepasi in this Division 1 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Fajr Sepasi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%

Fajr Sepasi

20%

Draws

38%

Khalij Fars Mahshahr

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Fajr Sepasi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence

Fajr Sepasi have won more games recently than Khalij Fars Mahshahr.
Win probability leans Fajr Sepasi's way, sitting at 42%.
Regular Division 1 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
History favors Fajr Sepasi here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 3%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%

Fajr Sepasi Clean Sheet 68%

Khalij Fars Mahshahr Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Fajr Sepasi	Khalij Fars Mahshahr
Matches Played	37	22
Wins	17	5
Draws	8	5
Losses	12	12
Goals Scored	0.75	0
Goals Conceded	1.5	0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2024 Azadegan League

Khalij Fars Mahshahr vs Fajr Sepasi

Possession: 56% - 45% Cards: 4 - 1

0:0

Oct 27, 2023 Azadegan League

Fajr Sepasi vs Khalij Fars Mahshahr

Possession: 60% - 40% Cards: 1 - 0

2:0

Mar 29, 2023 Azadegan League

Khalij Fars Mahshahr vs Fajr Sepasi

Possession: 45% - 43% Cards: 2 - 4

0:4

Oct 25, 2022 Azadegan League

Fajr Sepasi vs Khalij Fars Mahshahr

Possession: 48% - 54% Cards: 4 - 4

3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fajr Sepasi Compare

Top Goalscorer Fathi A.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Bouazar A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.58

Avg xA / game 0.38

Khalij Fars Mahshahr Compare

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fajr Sepasi 51 / 100

Khalij Fars Mahshahr 48 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Fajr Sepasi Khalij Fars Mahshahr

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fajr Sepasi's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 37 recent games.

Khalij Fars Mahshahr let in goals in 77% of their last 22 matches.

H2H data points to 2.25 goals as a typical output.

Khalij Fars Mahshahr lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fajr Sepasi VS -

0.75 Goals Scored 0

1.5 Goals Conceded 0

75% Over 1.5 0%

38% Over 2.5 0%

13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Kheybar Khorramabad	34	25	2	7	59:25	77
2	Fajr Sepasi	34	22	7	5	50:17	73
3	Chadormalu	34	22	7	5	47:20	73
4	Naft Masjed-Soleyman	34	16	13	5	47:29	58
5	Saipa	34	13	11	10	35:28	50
6	Mes Kerman	34	11	15	8	28:24	48
7	Ario Eslamshahr	34	11	13	10	28:28	46
8	Mes Shahr Babak	34	11	11	12	32:26	44
9	Naft Gachsaran	34	10	13	11	35:26	43
10	Kara Gostar Shabestar	34	11	10	13	27:34	43
11	Pars Janoobi Jam	34	11	10	13	33:42	43
12	Esteghlal Molasani	34	10	13	11	26:33	38
13	Shahre Raz	34	8	12	14	25:34	36
14	Shahrdari Astara	34	9	6	19	22:44	33
15	Damash Gilan	34	7	11	16	32:45	32
16	Darya Babol	34	6	13	15	30:41	31
17	Shahin Bandar Ameri	34	4	9	8	21:51	27
18	Khoosheh Talai	34	6	6	22	17:47	24