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Fajr Sepasi vs Paykan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iran Iran

Persian Gulf Pro League
Mon, Oct 19, 2026
VS
01:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Fajr Sepasi host Paykan in the Persian Gulf Pro League. This shapes up as a tight, low-scoring affair. Paykan have shipped 0.85 goals a game lately, while Fajr Sepasi have conceded 1.3 and scored 0.93. Head-to-head, Fajr Sepasi have won 0 to Paykan's 1, with 4 draws. They last met on Mar 6, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (0.56 - 0.56) back Paykan to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Fajr Sepasi
30%
Draws
41%
Paykan
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Paykan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Paykan have won more games recently than Fajr Sepasi.
  • Win probability leans Paykan's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Persian Gulf Pro League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Fajr Sepasi Clean Sheet 20%
Paykan Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fajr Sepasi Paykan
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 7 8
Draws 8 7
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 0.93 0.67
Goals Conceded 1.3 0.85
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 0.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 6, 2026 Persian Gulf Pro League
Fajr Sepasi vs Paykan
0:0
Nov 1, 2025 Persian Gulf Pro League
Paykan vs Fajr Sepasi
2:2
Feb 25, 2025 Azadegan League
Paykan vs Fajr Sepasi
1:1
Oct 9, 2024 Azadegan League
Fajr Sepasi vs Paykan
0:2
Feb 28, 2022 Persian Gulf Pro League
Fajr Sepasi vs Paykan
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fajr Sepasi 24 / 100
Paykan 49 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fajr Sepasi Paykan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Paykan Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fajr Sepasi found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (27 games).

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Fajr Sepasi remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Paykan conceded in 56% of 27 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Fajr Sepasi VS Paykan
0.5 Goals Scored 0.63
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
38% Over 1.5 38%
13% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Fajr Sepasi

(Home)
08 Oct
Sepahan
6 : 1
Fajr Sepasi
07 Sept
Foolad
1 : 0
Fajr Sepasi
03 Sept
Fajr Sepasi
1 : 1
Mes Shahr Babak
29 Aug
Fajr Sepasi
0 : 0
Zob Ahan
24 Aug
Malavan
0 : 1
Fajr Sepasi
Page 1 of 6

Paykan

(Away)
10 Sept
Esteghlal TEH
1 : 0
Paykan
06 Sept
Paykan
2 : 0
Sanat Naft
02 Sept
Zob Ahan
1 : 0
Paykan
28 Aug
Paykan
0 : 0
Esteghlal Khuzestan
24 Aug
Kheybar Khorramabad
2 : 3
Paykan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tractor 8 5 2 1 9:2 17
2 Esteghlal TEH 8 4 4 0 10:2 16
3 Persepolis 6 4 1 1 12:3 13
4 Sepahan 7 4 1 2 11:5 13
5 Aluminium Arak 7 3 4 0 9:4 13
6 Gol Gohar 8 4 1 3 10:7 13
7 Foolad 7 3 3 1 7:4 12
8 Mazandaran 8 2 3 3 5:7 9
9 Paykan 7 2 2 3 5:6 8
10 Malavan 7 2 2 3 6:9 8
11 Chadormalu 7 2 2 3 4:9 8
12 Zob Ahan 7 1 4 2 4:6 7
13 Fajr Sepasi 7 1 4 2 4:9 7
14 Kheybar Khorramabad 6 1 3 2 8:8 6
15 Esteghlal Khuzestan 8 1 3 4 4:12 6
16 Shams Azar Qazvin 7 1 2 4 6:9 5
17 Mes Shahr Babak 8 0 5 3 6:12 5
18 Sanat Naft 7 0 4 3 2:8 4
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Azadegan League 2027/2028 (Main)