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Fakel Voronezh vs Akhmat Grozny - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

Premier League Fakel Stadium, Voronezh
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Match Events

37'
Sub
Turishchev M. In: Pusi B.
Out: Turishchev M.
52'
Sutormin A.
58'
Sub
Sutormin A. In: Kovalev A.
Out: Sutormin A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Fakel Voronezh
30%
Draws
39%
Akhmat Grozny
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Akhmat Grozny

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Fakel Voronezh haven't matched Akhmat Grozny's recent run of results.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Fakel Voronezh Clean Sheet 16%
Akhmat Grozny Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fakel Voronezh Akhmat Grozny
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 6 10
Draws 8 9
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 1 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.36 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 18, 2026 Russian Cup
Akhmat Grozny vs Fakel Voronezh
2:1
Aug 10, 2026 Premier League
Fakel Voronezh vs Akhmat Grozny
0:0
Apr 5, 2025 Premier League
Fakel Voronezh vs Akhmat Grozny
0:0
Oct 18, 2024 Premier League
Akhmat Grozny vs Fakel Voronezh
2:3
May 25, 2024 Premier League
Fakel Voronezh vs Akhmat Grozny
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fakel Voronezh 31 / 100
Akhmat Grozny 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fakel Voronezh Akhmat Grozny

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Akhmat Grozny Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Fakel Voronezh scored in 61% of their last 28 outings.

Akhmat Grozny has conceded goals in 74% of their last 27 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Fakel Voronezh stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fakel Voronezh VS Akhmat Grozny
0.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Fakel Voronezh

(Home)
10 Oct
Fakel Voronezh
0 : 5
Lokomotiv Moscow
03 Oct
Fakel Voronezh
1 : 0
Vitebsk
16 Sept
Spartak Moscow
1 : 0
Fakel Voronezh
12 Sept
Fakel Voronezh
2 : 2
Baltika
05 Sept
FK Rostov
3 : 1
Fakel Voronezh
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Akhmat Grozny

(Away)
17 Sept
Akron Togliatti
2 : 0
Akhmat Grozny
13 Sept
Akhmat Grozny
3 : 2
Dynamo Makhachkala
07 Sept
Rubin Kazan
1 : 1
Akhmat Grozny
03 Sept
Dynamo Moscow
3 : 0
Akhmat Grozny
29 Aug
Akhmat Grozny
3 : 3
Krylya Sovetov Samara
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zenit St Petersburg 10 7 0 3 22:11 21
2 Krasnodar 10 6 3 1 16:10 21
3 Spartak Moscow 10 6 2 2 17:8 20
4 Dynamo Moscow 9 6 1 2 14:8 19
5 CSKA Moscow 9 5 4 0 15:9 19
6 Orenburg 10 2 6 2 11:10 12
7 Rubin Kazan 9 2 6 1 12:11 12
8 Dynamo Makhachkala 10 4 0 6 15:20 12
9 Krylya Sovetov Samara 10 2 6 2 14:15 12
10 Baltika 9 3 2 4 14:12 11
11 FK Rostov 10 3 2 5 11:17 11
12 Lokomotiv Moscow 10 2 4 4 13:11 10
13 Akhmat Grozny 9 2 4 3 13:13 10
14 Akron Togliatti 10 1 5 4 11:19 8
15 Rodina Moscow 9 1 2 6 10:22 5
16 Fakel Voronezh 10 0 3 7 6:18 3
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - FNL 2027/2028 (Main)