Sport Picks
Fakel Voronezh vs Baltika - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Russia
Premier League Fakel Stadium, Voronezh 
Match Events
10'
10'
Mendel A.
13'
13'
Netfullin R.
Assist: Sutormin A.
46'
46'
Sub
Petrov M. In: Petrov I.
Out: Petrov M.
AI Match Summary
The Premier League game between Fakel Voronezh and Baltika finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Baltika come out ahead of Fakel Voronezh on wins alone.
- Model gives Baltika a 40% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Fakel Voronezh Clean Sheet 18%
Baltika Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Fakel Voronezh | Baltika |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 27 |
| Wins | 6 | 10 |
| Draws | 8 | 7 |
| Losses | 14 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.67 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.36 | 1.04 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 12, 2026 Premier League
Fakel Voronezh vs Baltika
2:2
Feb 12, 2026 Club Friendly
Baltika vs Fakel Voronezh
1:0
Jan 31, 2024 Club Friendly
Fakel Voronezh vs Baltika
2:1
Dec 2, 2023 Premier League
Fakel Voronezh vs Baltika
0:0
Aug 6, 2023 Premier League
Baltika vs Fakel Voronezh
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Fakel Voronezh Compare
Top Goalscorer Netfullin R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Magomedov B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47
Baltika Compare
Top Goalscorer Golenkov E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Fakel Voronezh 28 / 100
Baltika 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Fakel Voronezh Baltika
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Baltika Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Fakel Voronezh scored in 61% of their last 28 outings.
Defensive concern: Baltika conceded in 70% of 27 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.
Away concern: Baltika has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Fakel Voronezh VS Baltika
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Fakel Voronezh
(Home) 10 Oct
Fakel Voronezh
0 : 5 Lokomotiv Moscow
03 Oct
Fakel Voronezh
1 : 0 Vitebsk
16 Sept
Spartak Moscow
1 : 0 Fakel Voronezh
12 Sept
Fakel Voronezh
2 : 2 Baltika
05 Sept
FK Rostov
3 : 1 Fakel Voronezh
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Fakel Voronezh
0 : 5 Lokomotiv Moscow
03 Oct
Fakel Voronezh
1 : 0 Vitebsk
12 Sept
Fakel Voronezh
2 : 2 Baltika
01 Sept
Fakel Voronezh
1 : 2 Krasnodar
29 Aug
Fakel Voronezh
0 : 1 Zenit St Petersburg
Page 1 of 3
Baltika
(Away) 16 Sept
Baltika
2 : 3 Zenit St Petersburg
12 Sept
Fakel Voronezh
2 : 2 Baltika
06 Sept
Baltika
0 : 1 Lokomotiv Moscow
02 Sept
Baltika
0 : 1 Krylya Sovetov Samara
30 Aug
Rodina Moscow
0 : 3 Baltika
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Fakel Voronezh
2 : 2 Baltika
30 Aug
Rodina Moscow
0 : 3 Baltika
08 Aug
Krylya Sovetov Samara
0 : 2 Baltika
05 Aug
Zenit St Petersburg
1 : 0 Baltika
24 Jul
CSKA Moscow
2 : 1 Baltika
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zenit St Petersburg | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 22:11 | 21 |
| 2 | Krasnodar | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 16:10 | 21 |
| 3 | Spartak Moscow | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17:8 | 20 |
| 4 | Dynamo Moscow | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 14:8 | 19 |
| 5 | CSKA Moscow | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 15:9 | 19 |
| 6 | Orenburg | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 11:10 | 12 |
| 7 | Rubin Kazan | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 12:11 | 12 |
| 8 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 15:20 | 12 |
| 9 | Krylya Sovetov Samara | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 14:15 | 12 |
| 10 | Baltika | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14:12 | 11 |
| 11 | FK Rostov | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11:17 | 11 |
| 12 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 13:11 | 10 |
| 13 | Akhmat Grozny | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 13:13 | 10 |
| 14 | Akron Togliatti | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 11:19 | 8 |
| 15 | Rodina Moscow | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10:22 | 5 |
| 16 | Fakel Voronezh | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 6:18 | 3 |
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - FNL 2027/2028 (Main)
