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Fakel Voronezh vs Dynamo Moscow - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

Premier League Fakel Stadium, Voronezh
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Fakel Voronezh host Dynamo Moscow in the Premier League. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Dynamo Moscow have shipped 0.89 goals a game lately, while Fakel Voronezh have conceded 1.36 and scored 1.14. Past meetings favor Dynamo Moscow slightly — 0-2-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 5, 2026, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 0.88 vs 2.00, favoring Dynamo Moscow. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Fakel Voronezh
15%
Draws
53%
Dynamo Moscow
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dynamo Moscow

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Dynamo Moscow carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Dynamo Moscow are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Fakel Voronezh Clean Sheet 10%
Dynamo Moscow Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fakel Voronezh Dynamo Moscow
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 8 19
Draws 7 2
Losses 13 6
Goals Scored 1.14 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.36 0.89
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 5, 2026 Russian Cup
Fakel Voronezh vs Dynamo Moscow
0:1
Nov 24, 2024 Premier League
Fakel Voronezh vs Dynamo Moscow
1:1
Jul 20, 2024 Premier League
Dynamo Moscow vs Fakel Voronezh
3:1
Dec 10, 2023 Premier League
Fakel Voronezh vs Dynamo Moscow
1:1
Oct 8, 2023 Premier League
Dynamo Moscow vs Fakel Voronezh
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fakel Voronezh 22 / 100
Dynamo Moscow 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fakel Voronezh Dynamo Moscow

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dynamo Moscow Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fakel Voronezh scored in 68% of their last 28 games.

Dynamo Moscow has conceded goals in 67% of their last 27 outings.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Fakel Voronezh has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Fakel Voronezh VS Dynamo Moscow
1.13 Goals Scored 2.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Fakel Voronezh

(Home)
17 Oct
Krylya Sovetov Samara
1 : 2
Fakel Voronezh
13 Oct
Krasnodar
0 : 2
Fakel Voronezh
10 Oct
Fakel Voronezh
0 : 5
Lokomotiv Moscow
03 Oct
Fakel Voronezh
1 : 0
Vitebsk
16 Sept
Spartak Moscow
1 : 0
Fakel Voronezh
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Dynamo Moscow

(Away)
18 Oct
Dynamo Moscow
3 : 1
CSKA Moscow
14 Oct
Akhmat Grozny
1 : 2
Dynamo Moscow
11 Oct
Rubin Kazan
0 : 1
Dynamo Moscow
04 Oct
Dynamo Moscow
3 : 2
Rodina Moscow
17 Sept
FK Rostov
0 : 3
Dynamo Moscow
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dynamo Moscow 11 8 1 2 18:9 25
2 Zenit St Petersburg 11 8 0 3 25:13 24
3 Spartak Moscow 11 7 2 2 21:8 23
4 CSKA Moscow 11 6 4 1 19:12 22
5 Krasnodar 11 6 4 1 19:13 22
6 Orenburg 11 2 7 2 13:12 13
7 Baltika 11 3 4 4 14:12 13
8 Dynamo Makhachkala 11 4 1 6 16:21 13
9 FK Rostov 11 3 3 5 11:17 12
10 Rubin Kazan 11 2 6 3 12:16 12
11 Krylya Sovetov Samara 11 2 6 3 15:17 12
12 Lokomotiv Moscow 11 2 5 4 16:14 11
13 Akhmat Grozny 11 2 5 4 15:16 11
14 Akron Togliatti 11 1 6 4 12:20 9
15 Fakel Voronezh 11 1 3 7 8:19 6
16 Rodina Moscow 11 1 3 7 12:27 6
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - FNL 2027/2028 (Main)