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Fakel Voronezh vs Graficar Beograd

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Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Fakel Voronezh play Graficar Beograd in the Club Friendly. It looks like a close match. Recently, Fakel Voronezh averaged 1.61 goals scored and 0.86 conceded. Graficar Beograd averaged 1.14 goals scored and 1 conceded. In past meetings, Fakel Voronezh won 1, Graficar Beograd won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jan 31, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.31 for Fakel Voronezh and 1.13 for Graficar Beograd. This points to a Fakel Voronezh double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Fakel Voronezh
30%
Draws
28%
Graficar Beograd
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Fakel Voronezh

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence
  • Fakel Voronezh picked up more points recently compared to Graficar Beograd.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.31 vs 1.13 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 71%
Over 2.5 Goals 40%
Over 3.5 Goals 24%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 40%
Fakel Voronezh Clean Sheet 21%
Graficar Beograd Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 64%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fakel Voronezh Graficar Beograd
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 14 11
Draws 10 7
Losses 4 10
Goals Scored 1.61 1.14
Goals Conceded 0.86 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2026 Club Friendly
Fakel Voronezh vs Graficar Beograd
1:1
Jan 24, 2023 Club Friendly
Fakel Voronezh vs Graficar Beograd
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fakel Voronezh 42 / 100
Graficar Beograd 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fakel Voronezh Graficar Beograd

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Fakel Voronezh or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +23.5%
2.94
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +17.6%
2.94
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Fakel Voronezh attacking → ← attacking Graficar Beograd

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fakel Voronezh scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

Graficar Beograd let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Fakel Voronezh went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Graficar Beograd lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

52 Points in last 5 40
1.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00