Sport Picks
Fakel Voronezh vs Krasnodar
Russia
Russian Cup Fakel Stadium, Voronezh 
Match Events
46'
46'
Sub
Yakimov V. In: Netfullin R.
Out: Yakimov V.
46'
46'
Sub
Koksharov A. In: Dryakhlov A.
Out: Koksharov A.
52'
52'
Yurganov I.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-2. This leg finished 1-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
20%
35%
45%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Krasnodar
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
45%
/ Medium Confidence
- Fakel Voronezh haven't matched Krasnodar's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Krasnodar's way, sitting at 60%.
- Krasnodar arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Krasnodar, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Krasnodar here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Fakel Voronezh Clean Sheet 19%
Krasnodar Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Fakel Voronezh | Krasnodar |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 31 |
| Wins | 7 | 20 |
| Draws | 9 | 8 |
| Losses | 13 | 3 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.14 | 0.84 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.56 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 1, 2026 Russian Cup
Fakel Voronezh vs Krasnodar
1:2
Aug 2, 2026 Premier League
Krasnodar vs Fakel Voronezh
3:2
Mar 30, 2025 Premier League
Krasnodar vs Fakel Voronezh
5:0
Aug 4, 2024 Premier League
Fakel Voronezh vs Krasnodar
0:0
Apr 19, 2024 Premier League
Krasnodar vs Fakel Voronezh
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Fakel Voronezh Compare
Top Goalscorer Kovalev A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.43
Avg xA / game 0.28
Krasnodar Compare
Top Goalscorer Ozdoev M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Fakel Voronezh 20 / 100
Krasnodar 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Fakel Voronezh Krasnodar
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Krasnodar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Fakel Voronezh scored in 62% of their last 29 games.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Krasnodar let in goals in 58% of their last 31 matches.
Fakel Voronezh has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Fakel Voronezh VS Krasnodar
0.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.5
50% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Fakel Voronezh
(Home) 03 Oct
Fakel Voronezh
1 : 0 Vitebsk
16 Sept
Spartak Moscow
1 : 0 Fakel Voronezh
12 Sept
Fakel Voronezh
2 : 2 Baltika
05 Sept
FK Rostov
3 : 1 Fakel Voronezh
01 Sept
Fakel Voronezh
1 : 2 Krasnodar
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Fakel Voronezh
1 : 0 Vitebsk
12 Sept
Fakel Voronezh
2 : 2 Baltika
01 Sept
Fakel Voronezh
1 : 2 Krasnodar
29 Aug
Fakel Voronezh
0 : 1 Zenit St Petersburg
22 Aug
Fakel Voronezh
0 : 0 Orenburg
Page 1 of 4
Krasnodar
(Away) 03 Oct
FK Rostov
0 : 3 Krasnodar
17 Sept
Orenburg
0 : 0 Krasnodar
13 Sept
Krasnodar
1 : 1 Akron Togliatti
05 Sept
Krylya Sovetov Samara
2 : 2 Krasnodar
01 Sept
Fakel Voronezh
1 : 2 Krasnodar
Page 1 of 7
03 Oct
FK Rostov
0 : 3 Krasnodar
17 Sept
Orenburg
0 : 0 Krasnodar
05 Sept
Krylya Sovetov Samara
2 : 2 Krasnodar
01 Sept
Fakel Voronezh
1 : 2 Krasnodar
23 Aug
Dynamo Makhachkala
0 : 1 Krasnodar
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spartak Moscow | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9:3 | 7 |
| 2 | Rubin Kazan | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2:7 | 4 |
| 3 | Orenburg | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6:7 | 4 |
| 4 | Rodina Moscow | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7:7 | 3 |
Promotion - Russian Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup (Regions Path - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Krasnodar | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 7 |
| 2 | Dynamo Moscow | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:1 | 6 |
| 3 | Akhmat Grozny | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | 4 |
| 4 | Fakel Voronezh | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:4 | 1 |
Promotion - Russian Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup (Regions Path - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zenit St Petersburg | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 8 |
| 2 | Krylya Sovetov Samara | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2:1 | 6 |
| 3 | Baltika | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1:2 | 3 |
| 4 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:6 | 1 |
Promotion - Russian Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup (Regions Path - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Rostov | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:0 | 9 |
| 2 | Akron Togliatti | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | 5 |
| 3 | CSKA Moscow | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1:4 | 2 |
| 4 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:2 | 2 |
Promotion - Russian Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup (Regions Path - Play Offs)
