Sport Picks
Fakel Voronezh vs Lokomotiv Moscow - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Russia
Premier League Fakel Stadium, Voronezh 
Match Events
25'
25'
Titkov N.
Assist: Pinyaev S.
28'
28'
Godyaev D.
32'
32'
Komlichenko N.
Assist: Bakaev Z.
AI Match Summary
The Premier League game between Fakel Voronezh and Lokomotiv Moscow finished 0-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lokomotiv Moscow.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
20%
51%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lokomotiv Moscow
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Fakel Voronezh haven't matched Lokomotiv Moscow's recent run of results.
- Model gives Fakel Voronezh a 42% chance of winning this.
- Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 5 times recently and Lokomotiv Moscow have taken 5 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 35%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Fakel Voronezh Clean Sheet 20%
Lokomotiv Moscow Clean Sheet 16%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Fakel Voronezh | Lokomotiv Moscow |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 31 |
| Wins | 6 | 10 |
| Draws | 8 | 8 |
| Losses | 13 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.04 | 1.19 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.22 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 10, 2026 Premier League
Fakel Voronezh vs Lokomotiv Moscow
0:5
May 11, 2025 Premier League
Fakel Voronezh vs Lokomotiv Moscow
0:1
Nov 9, 2024 Premier League
Lokomotiv Moscow vs Fakel Voronezh
2:1
May 18, 2024 Premier League
Lokomotiv Moscow vs Fakel Voronezh
2:0
Jul 30, 2023 Premier League
Fakel Voronezh vs Lokomotiv Moscow
1:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Fakel Voronezh Compare
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47
Lokomotiv Moscow Compare
Top Goalscorer Komlichenko N.
2 Goals Assists Leader Titkov N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Fakel Voronezh 42 / 100
Lokomotiv Moscow 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Fakel Voronezh Lokomotiv Moscow
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.
Fakel Voronezh found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (27 games).
Defensive concern: Lokomotiv Moscow conceded in 61% of 31 recent games.
Recent resilience: Fakel Voronezh stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Fakel Voronezh VS Lokomotiv Moscow
0.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
38% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Fakel Voronezh
(Home) 03 Oct
Fakel Voronezh
1 : 0 Vitebsk
16 Sept
Spartak Moscow
1 : 0 Fakel Voronezh
12 Sept
Fakel Voronezh
2 : 2 Baltika
05 Sept
FK Rostov
3 : 1 Fakel Voronezh
01 Sept
Fakel Voronezh
1 : 2 Krasnodar
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Fakel Voronezh
1 : 0 Vitebsk
12 Sept
Fakel Voronezh
2 : 2 Baltika
01 Sept
Fakel Voronezh
1 : 2 Krasnodar
29 Aug
Fakel Voronezh
0 : 1 Zenit St Petersburg
22 Aug
Fakel Voronezh
0 : 0 Orenburg
Page 1 of 3
Lokomotiv Moscow
(Away) 03 Oct
Lokomotiv Moscow
2 : 0 Orenburg
26 Sept
Lokomotiv Moscow
0 : 2 Arsenal Tula
16 Sept
Lokomotiv Moscow
1 : 1 Krylya Sovetov Samara
12 Sept
Zenit St Petersburg
2 : 1 Lokomotiv Moscow
06 Sept
Baltika
0 : 1 Lokomotiv Moscow
Page 1 of 7
12 Sept
Zenit St Petersburg
2 : 1 Lokomotiv Moscow
06 Sept
Baltika
0 : 1 Lokomotiv Moscow
01 Sept
Akron Togliatti
1 : 0 Lokomotiv Moscow
22 Aug
CSKA Moscow
3 : 2 Lokomotiv Moscow
18 Aug
FK Rostov
1 : 0 Lokomotiv Moscow
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Krasnodar | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 14:7 | 21 |
| 2 | Dynamo Moscow | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 14:8 | 19 |
| 3 | CSKA Moscow | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 15:9 | 19 |
| 4 | Spartak Moscow | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 16:7 | 19 |
| 5 | Zenit St Petersburg | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 19:9 | 18 |
| 6 | Orenburg | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 11:10 | 12 |
| 7 | Rubin Kazan | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 12:11 | 12 |
| 8 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 15:20 | 12 |
| 9 | Baltika | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14:12 | 11 |
| 10 | FK Rostov | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11:17 | 11 |
| 11 | Krylya Sovetov Samara | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 13:14 | 11 |
| 12 | Akhmat Grozny | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 13:13 | 10 |
| 13 | Akron Togliatti | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 11:19 | 8 |
| 14 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 8:11 | 7 |
| 15 | Rodina Moscow | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10:22 | 5 |
| 16 | Fakel Voronezh | 9 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6:13 | 3 |
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - FNL 2027/2028 (Main)
