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Fakel Voronezh vs Rodina Moscow - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

Premier League Fakel Stadium, Voronezh
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Fakel Voronezh host Rodina Moscow in the Premier League. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Fakel Voronezh at 1 goals for, 1.18 against; Rodina Moscow at 1.79 for, 1.79 against. Head-to-head, Fakel Voronezh have won 0 to Rodina Moscow's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on Apr 13, 2026, ending 1:3. The numbers (1.56 xG vs 1.25) point toward Rodina Moscow. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Fakel Voronezh
20%
Draws
40%
Rodina Moscow
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Rodina Moscow have won more games recently than Fakel Voronezh.
  • Fakel Voronezh are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Rodina Moscow have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Fakel Voronezh Clean Sheet 19%
Rodina Moscow Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fakel Voronezh Rodina Moscow
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 6 12
Draws 9 5
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.18 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2026 FNL
Fakel Voronezh vs Rodina Moscow
1:3
Sep 15, 2025 FNL
Rodina Moscow vs Fakel Voronezh
2:0
Feb 17, 2020 FNL Cup
Rodina Moscow vs Fakel Voronezh
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fakel Voronezh 36 / 100
Rodina Moscow 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fakel Voronezh Rodina Moscow

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fakel Voronezh found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (28 games).

Rodina Moscow let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.67 goals per match.

Away concern: Rodina Moscow has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Fakel Voronezh VS Rodina Moscow
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.38
50% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Fakel Voronezh

(Home)
03 Oct
Fakel Voronezh
1 : 0
Vitebsk
16 Sept
Spartak Moscow
1 : 0
Fakel Voronezh
12 Sept
Fakel Voronezh
2 : 2
Baltika
05 Sept
FK Rostov
3 : 1
Fakel Voronezh
01 Sept
Fakel Voronezh
1 : 2
Krasnodar
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Rodina Moscow

(Away)
04 Oct
Dynamo Moscow
3 : 2
Rodina Moscow
27 Sept
Partizan
2 : 3
Rodina Moscow
16 Sept
Rodina Moscow
1 : 1
Rubin Kazan
11 Sept
Krylya Sovetov Samara
2 : 1
Rodina Moscow
06 Sept
Dynamo Makhachkala
2 : 0
Rodina Moscow
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Krasnodar 9 6 3 0 14:7 21
2 Dynamo Moscow 9 6 1 2 14:8 19
3 CSKA Moscow 9 5 4 0 15:9 19
4 Spartak Moscow 9 6 1 2 16:7 19
5 Zenit St Petersburg 9 6 0 3 19:9 18
6 Rubin Kazan 9 2 6 1 12:11 12
7 Dynamo Makhachkala 9 4 0 5 15:16 12
8 Baltika 9 3 2 4 14:12 11
9 Krylya Sovetov Samara 9 2 5 2 13:14 11
10 Akhmat Grozny 9 2 4 3 13:13 10
11 Orenburg 9 1 6 2 7:10 9
12 FK Rostov 9 2 2 5 10:17 8
13 Akron Togliatti 9 1 5 3 11:18 8
14 Lokomotiv Moscow 9 1 4 4 8:11 7
15 Rodina Moscow 9 1 2 6 10:22 5
16 Fakel Voronezh 9 0 3 6 6:13 3
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation - FNL 2027/2028 (Main)