Sport Picks

Russia

FNL 2025/2026 Fakel Stadium

Fakel Voronezh

2 - 0

Yenisey

Our Tip

Match Events

28'

Gabaraev A.

44'

Pogosov A.

46'

Sub

Magomedov B. In: Giorgobiani N.

Out: Magomedov B.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The FNL 2025/2026 game between Fakel Voronezh and Yenisey finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fakel Voronezh.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%

Fakel Voronezh

20%

Draws

38%

Yenisey

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Fakel Voronezh

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence

Look at the last few games and Yenisey come out ahead of Fakel Voronezh on wins alone.
Fakel Voronezh are the model's pick here, at 42%.
Regular FNL 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 69%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%

Fakel Voronezh Clean Sheet 68%

Yenisey Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Fakel Voronezh	Yenisey
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	15	16
Draws	10	8
Losses	5	6
Goals Scored	1.75	1.13
Goals Conceded	1	0.38
Expected Goals (xG)	1.75	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 FNL

Fakel Voronezh vs Yenisey

Possession: 56% - 44% Cards: 2 - 0

2:0

Sep 20, 2025 FNL

Yenisey vs Fakel Voronezh

Possession: 59% - 51% Cards: 4 - 2

1:1

Jun 10, 2023 FNL

Fakel Voronezh vs Yenisey

Possession: 41% - 56% Cards: 2 - 4

2:0

Jun 7, 2023 FNL

Yenisey vs Fakel Voronezh

Possession: 44% - 42% Cards: 3 - 0

0:1

Mar 26, 2022 FNL

Yenisey vs Fakel Voronezh

Possession: 55% - 47% Cards: 3 - 3

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fakel Voronezh Compare

Top Goalscorer Todorovic D.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Pusi B.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.35

Avg xA / game 0.88

Yenisey Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03

Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fakel Voronezh 51 / 100

Yenisey 48 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Fakel Voronezh Yenisey

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Fakel Voronezh scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Fakel Voronezh went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Yenisey has conceded goals in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Fakel Voronezh VS Yenisey

1.75 Goals Scored 1.13

1 Goals Conceded 0.38

88% Over 1.5 50%

63% Over 2.5 13%

38% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Rodina Moscow	34	19	11	4	58:28	68
2	Fakel Voronezh	34	20	8	6	44:22	68
3	Ural	34	18	7	9	51:31	61
4	R. Volgograd	34	15	11	8	47:26	56
5	Kamaz	34	12	13	9	46:34	49
6	Yenisey	34	13	10	11	37:35	49
7	S. Kostroma	34	12	13	9	46:41	49
8	Shinnik Yaroslavl	34	11	15	8	34:28	48
9	Torpedo Moscow	34	12	10	12	37:39	46
10	Chelyabinsk	34	10	14	10	42:40	44
11	Neftekhimik	34	10	13	11	40:41	43
12	SKA Khabarovsk	34	10	12	12	37:45	42
13	Arsenal Tula	34	8	15	11	42:44	39
14	Ulyanovsk	34	9	10	15	35:48	37
15	Ufa	34	9	10	15	32:40	37
16	Chernomorets Novorossijsk	34	9	8	17	37:49	35
17	Saratov	34	5	11	18	16:44	26
18	FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye	34	5	7	22	30:76	22