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Fakel Voronezh vs Yenisey Prediction & H2H Stats

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FNL 2025/2026 Fakel Stadium, Voronezh
Our Tip

Match Events

28'
Gabaraev A.
44'
Pogosov A.
46'
Sub
Magomedov B. In: Giorgobiani N.
Out: Magomedov B.

AI Match Summary

The FNL 2025/2026 game between Fakel Voronezh and Yenisey finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fakel Voronezh.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Fakel Voronezh
20%
Draws
70%
Yenisey
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Yenisey

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Yenisey come out ahead of Fakel Voronezh on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular FNL 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Fakel Voronezh Clean Sheet 68%
Yenisey Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fakel Voronezh Yenisey
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 14
Draws 9 9
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 1 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 FNL
Fakel Voronezh vs Yenisey
2:0
Sep 20, 2025 FNL
Yenisey vs Fakel Voronezh
1:1
Jun 10, 2023 FNL
Fakel Voronezh vs Yenisey
2:0
Jun 7, 2023 FNL
Yenisey vs Fakel Voronezh
0:1
Mar 26, 2022 FNL
Yenisey vs Fakel Voronezh
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fakel Voronezh Compare

Top Goalscorer Todorovic D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pusi B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Yenisey Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fakel Voronezh 42 / 100
Yenisey 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fakel Voronezh Yenisey

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Fakel Voronezh scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Yenisey conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Fakel Voronezh has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Fakel Voronezh VS Yenisey
0.38 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
38% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Fakel Voronezh

(Home)
16 Sept
Spartak Moscow
1 : 0
Fakel Voronezh
12 Sept
Fakel Voronezh
2 : 2
Baltika
05 Sept
FK Rostov
3 : 1
Fakel Voronezh
01 Sept
Fakel Voronezh
1 : 2
Krasnodar
29 Aug
Fakel Voronezh
0 : 1
Zenit St Petersburg
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Yenisey

(Away)
26 Sept
Chelyabinsk
1 : 1
Yenisey
16 Sept
Yenisey
3 : 1
Arsenal Tula
13 Sept
R. Volgograd
4 : 0
Yenisey
09 Sept
Maykop
1 : 2
Yenisey
05 Sept
Yenisey
0 : 2
Neftekhimik
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rodina Moscow 34 19 11 4 58:28 68
2 Fakel Voronezh 34 20 8 6 44:22 68
3 Ural 34 18 7 9 51:31 61
4 R. Volgograd 34 15 11 8 47:26 56
5 Kamaz 34 12 13 9 46:34 49
6 Yenisey 34 13 10 11 37:35 49
7 S. Kostroma 34 12 13 9 46:41 49
8 Shinnik Yaroslavl 34 11 15 8 34:28 48
9 Torpedo Moscow 34 12 10 12 37:39 46
10 Chelyabinsk 34 10 14 10 42:40 44
11 Neftekhimik 34 10 13 11 40:41 43
12 SKA Khabarovsk 34 10 12 12 37:45 42
13 Arsenal Tula 34 8 15 11 42:44 39
14 Ulyanovsk 34 9 10 15 35:48 37
15 Ufa 34 9 10 15 32:40 37
16 Chernomorets Novorossijsk 34 9 8 17 37:49 35
17 Saratov 34 5 11 18 16:44 26
18 FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye 34 5 7 22 30:76 22
Promotion - Premier League (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Relegation)