Sport Picks

England

FA Cup 2014/2015

Newmarket

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Fakenham play Newmarket in the FA Cup 2014/2015. Newmarket are favorites here. Recently, Fakenham averaged 0.5 goals scored and 2.75 conceded. Newmarket averaged 1.38 goals scored and 1.94 conceded. In past meetings, Fakenham won 0, Newmarket won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Aug 20, 2014 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.06 for Fakenham and 1.75 for Newmarket. This points to a Newmarket double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%

Fakenham

20%

Draws

64%

Newmarket

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Newmarket

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

92% / Very High Confidence

Fakenham picked up more points recently compared to Newmarket.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.06 vs 1.75 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 73%

Over 2.5 Goals 50%

Over 3.5 Goals 30%

Over 4.5 Goals 15%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 59%

Fakenham Clean Sheet 12%

Newmarket Clean Sheet 14%

First Half Goal 66%

Second Half Goal 69%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Fakenham	Newmarket
Matches Played	4	16
Wins	0	5
Draws	1	3
Losses	3	8
Goals Scored	0.5	1.38
Goals Conceded	2.75	1.94
Expected Goals (xG)	0.50	0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.75	1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 20, 2014 FA Cup

Fakenham vs Newmarket

Possession: 56% - 46% Cards: 3 - 2

0:1

Aug 16, 2014 FA Cup

Newmarket vs Fakenham

Possession: 44% - 44% Cards: 1 - 3

1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fakenham 17 / 100

Newmarket 60 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Fakenham Newmarket

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Newmarket Win (2)

Secondary Pick Newmarket & Under 3.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +100%

12.50

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +13.5%

2.27

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Fakenham attacking → ← attacking Newmarket

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fakenham scored in 50% of their last 4 games.

Newmarket let in goals in 81% of their last 16 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Fakenham went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Newmarket lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

1 Points in last 5 18

0.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.75

2.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63