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Fakirerpool YMC vs Mohammedan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bangladesh Bangladesh

BFL Shahid Barkat Stadium, Gazipur
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Hasan Shanta M. J.
Assist: Muzaffarov M.
36'
Hossain R.
46'
Sub
Ahamed M. J. In: Ahmed R.
Out: Ahamed M. J.

AI Match Summary

Mohammedan in this BFL matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mohammedan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Fakirerpool YMC
15%
Draws
59%
Mohammedan
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mohammedan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Mohammedan have won more games recently than Fakirerpool YMC.
  • Win probability leans Mohammedan's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Mohammedan here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Fakirerpool YMC Clean Sheet 10%
Mohammedan Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fakirerpool YMC Mohammedan
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 4 13
Draws 6 7
Losses 18 8
Goals Scored 0.82 1.86
Goals Conceded 2.43 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 0.76 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 2, 2026 BFL
Fakirerpool YMC vs Mohammedan
0:1
Apr 17, 2026 BFL
Mohammedan vs Fakirerpool YMC
3:0
Nov 29, 2025 BFL
Fakirerpool YMC vs Mohammedan
2:0
May 27, 2025 BFL
Fakirerpool YMC vs Mohammedan
1:6
Jan 31, 2025 Federation Cup
Mohammedan vs Fakirerpool YMC
5:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fakirerpool YMC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Mohammedan Compare

Top Goalscorer Hasan Shanta M. J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fakirerpool YMC 10 / 100
Mohammedan 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fakirerpool YMC Mohammedan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mohammedan Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Mohammedan has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Fakirerpool YMC's goal record stands at 54% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Fakirerpool YMC went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fakirerpool YMC VS Mohammedan
0.63 Goals Scored 2
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Fakirerpool YMC

(Home)
02 Oct
Fakirerpool YMC
0 : 1
Mohammedan
22 Sept
Fortis
1 : 1
Fakirerpool YMC
18 Sept
Fakirerpool YMC
2 : 1
Dhaka Wanderers
23 May
Bashundara Kings
4 : 1
Fakirerpool YMC
15 May
Fakirerpool YMC
0 : 1
PWD Sports Club
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Mohammedan

(Away)
06 Oct
Mohammedan
3 : 1
Arambagh
02 Oct
Fakirerpool YMC
0 : 1
Mohammedan
23 May
Mohammedan
5 : 0
Brothers U.
20 May
Bashundara Kings
3 : 2
Mohammedan
15 May
Rahmatgonj MFS
1 : 0
Mohammedan
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bangladesh Police 2 2 0 0 4:0 6
2 Fortis 2 1 1 0 9:3 4
3 Abahani Limited Dhaka 2 1 1 0 5:1 4
4 City Club 2 1 1 0 6:3 4
5 Mohammedan 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
6 Fakirerpool YMC 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
7 Arambagh 2 0 2 0 3:3 2
8 PWD Sports Club 2 0 2 0 1:1 2
9 Bashundara Kings 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
10 Rahmatgonj MFS 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
11 Brothers U. 2 0 1 1 1:4 1
12 Dhaka Wanderers 2 0 0 2 2:7 0
13 Chattogram 2 0 0 2 0:9 0
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