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Stadium Background

Fakirerpool YMC vs Rahmatgonj MFS

Bangladesh Bangladesh

Federation Cup Shahid Barkat Stadium, Gazipur
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-0. This leg finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Fakirerpool YMC
20%
Draws
64%
Rahmatgonj MFS
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Rahmatgonj MFS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Fakirerpool YMC haven't matched Rahmatgonj MFS's recent run of results.
  • Rahmatgonj MFS are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Rahmatgonj MFS arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Rahmatgonj MFS, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Fakirerpool YMC Clean Sheet 10%
Rahmatgonj MFS Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fakirerpool YMC Rahmatgonj MFS
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 10
Draws 6 11
Losses 19 9
Goals Scored 0.9 1.23
Goals Conceded 2.53 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 28, 2026 Federation Cup
Fakirerpool YMC vs Rahmatgonj MFS
0:0
Mar 13, 2026 BFL
Rahmatgonj MFS vs Fakirerpool YMC
3:0
Oct 19, 2025 BFL
Fakirerpool YMC vs Rahmatgonj MFS
0:2
May 10, 2025 BFL
Rahmatgonj MFS vs Fakirerpool YMC
1:2
Dec 28, 2024 BFL
Fakirerpool YMC vs Rahmatgonj MFS
1:6

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fakirerpool YMC 10 / 100
Rahmatgonj MFS 76 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fakirerpool YMC Rahmatgonj MFS

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RAH Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rahmatgonj MFS let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Difficult form: Rahmatgonj MFS registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Fakirerpool YMC's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Fakirerpool YMC VS Rahmatgonj MFS
0.25 Goals Scored 1.13
2.63 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Fakirerpool YMC

(Home)
23 May
Bashundara Kings
4 : 1
Fakirerpool YMC
15 May
Fakirerpool YMC
0 : 1
PWD Sports Club
08 May
Fakirerpool YMC
1 : 7
Fortis
01 May
Abahani Limited Dhaka
2 : 0
Fakirerpool YMC
28 Apr
Fakirerpool YMC
0 : 0
Rahmatgonj MFS
Page 1 of 6

Rahmatgonj MFS

(Away)
23 May
Rahmatgonj MFS
0 : 0
Bangladesh Police
15 May
Rahmatgonj MFS
1 : 0
Mohammedan
09 May
Brothers U.
3 : 1
Rahmatgonj MFS
05 May
Rahmatgonj MFS
0 : 3
Mohammedan
01 May
Fortis
3 : 2
Rahmatgonj MFS
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brothers U. 4 3 1 0 5:0 10
2 Rahmatgonj MFS 4 1 3 0 3:1 6
3 PWD Sports Club 4 2 0 2 3:5 6
4 Abahani Limited Dhaka 4 1 1 2 5:5 4
5 Fakirerpool YMC 4 0 1 3 2:7 1
Promotion - Federation Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Federation Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bashundara Kings 4 2 2 0 10:2 8
2 Mohammedan 4 2 2 0 8:3 8
3 Bangladesh Police 4 2 0 2 6:8 6
4 Fortis 4 1 2 1 7:4 5
5 Arambagh 4 0 0 4 0:14 0
Promotion - Federation Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Federation Cup (Play Offs)