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Fakirerpool YMC vs Rahmatgonj MFS

Bangladesh Bangladesh

BFL Shahid Barkat Stadium, Gazipur
Our Tip

Match Events

39'
Sub
Shanto M. In: Mia Y.
Out: Shanto M.
42'
Fofana M.
45'
Clement A.

AI Match Summary

The BFL game between Fakirerpool YMC and Rahmatgonj MFS finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rahmatgonj MFS.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Fakirerpool YMC
20%
Draws
64%
Rahmatgonj MFS
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Rahmatgonj MFS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Rahmatgonj MFS come out ahead of Fakirerpool YMC on wins alone.
  • Model gives Rahmatgonj MFS a 64% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Fakirerpool YMC Clean Sheet 10%
Rahmatgonj MFS Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fakirerpool YMC Rahmatgonj MFS
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 10
Draws 6 11
Losses 19 9
Goals Scored 0.9 1.23
Goals Conceded 2.53 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 28, 2026 Federation Cup
Fakirerpool YMC vs Rahmatgonj MFS
0:0
Mar 13, 2026 BFL
Rahmatgonj MFS vs Fakirerpool YMC
3:0
Oct 19, 2025 BFL
Fakirerpool YMC vs Rahmatgonj MFS
0:2
May 10, 2025 BFL
Rahmatgonj MFS vs Fakirerpool YMC
1:2
Dec 28, 2024 BFL
Fakirerpool YMC vs Rahmatgonj MFS
1:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fakirerpool YMC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Rahmatgonj MFS Compare

Top Goalscorer Clement A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Howleder R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fakirerpool YMC 10 / 100
Rahmatgonj MFS 76 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fakirerpool YMC Rahmatgonj MFS

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RAH Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Rahmatgonj MFS conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Away concern: Rahmatgonj MFS has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Fakirerpool YMC scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Fakirerpool YMC VS Rahmatgonj MFS
0.25 Goals Scored 1.13
2.63 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Fakirerpool YMC

(Home)
23 May
Bashundara Kings
4 : 1
Fakirerpool YMC
15 May
Fakirerpool YMC
0 : 1
PWD Sports Club
08 May
Fakirerpool YMC
1 : 7
Fortis
01 May
Abahani Limited Dhaka
2 : 0
Fakirerpool YMC
28 Apr
Fakirerpool YMC
0 : 0
Rahmatgonj MFS
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Rahmatgonj MFS

(Away)
23 May
Rahmatgonj MFS
0 : 0
Bangladesh Police
15 May
Rahmatgonj MFS
1 : 0
Mohammedan
09 May
Brothers U.
3 : 1
Rahmatgonj MFS
05 May
Rahmatgonj MFS
0 : 3
Mohammedan
01 May
Fortis
3 : 2
Rahmatgonj MFS
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