Sport Picks

Brazil

Sergipano Estadio Estadual Lourival Baptista (Batistao)

Scoring Trends

Falcon

Itabaiana

Goals Scored

0.75

Goals Conceded

1.25

1.23 Expected Goals (xG) 0.88

Over 1.5

63%

Over 2.5

38%

Over 3.5

13%

Detailed Analysis

Explore Head-to-Head and Form below for more insights.

Expert Analysis by Omoye ThankGod

Itabaiana hold a slight statistical advantage, though this match remains competitive. Defensive discipline will likely be the priority for both managers.

Their head-to-head record shows a history of competitive battles. The data points towards a tight game, making 'Under' markets particularly attractive. The numbers provide a solid foundation for this match outlook.

Possible Outcome Probability

Match Winner

Home Win35%

Draw15%

Away Win50%

Goals & Scoring

BTTS/GG: Yes28%

Over 1.5 Goals59%

Over 2.5 Goals39%

Match Events

50'

Luan Silva

(Penalty)

64'

Yago Henrique

88'

Andre Castro

Previous Encounters

20 Feb 26 SER

Itabaiana ✓

1:0

Falcon

16 Jan 26 SER

Falcon

0:2

✓ Itabaiana

01 Feb 25 SER

Itabaiana ✓

4:0

Falcon

18 Feb 24 SER

Itabaiana ✓

4:0

Falcon

26 Mar 23 SER

Itabaiana ✓

2:1

Falcon

Recent Form (Last 5)

Falcon

Home Team

20 Feb

Itabaiana

1 : 0

Falcon

14 Feb

Falcon

2 : 0

Desportiva Aracaju

11 Feb

Guarany SE

0 : 1

Falcon

07 Feb

America de Propria

2 : 1

Falcon

03 Feb

Falcon

2 : 1

Atletico Gloriense

Itabaiana

Away Team

30 May

Itabaiana

0 : 1

Volta Redonda

24 May

Internacional de Limeira

0 : 0

Itabaiana

16 May

Figueirense

0 : 1

Itabaiana

09 May

Itabaiana

0 : 0

Floresta EC

03 May

Maringa FC

4 : 2

Itabaiana

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sergipe	9	6	2	1	13:6	20
2	Itabaiana	9	5	2	2	12:4	17
3	Lagarto	9	4	4	1	16:8	16
4	Confianca	9	4	3	2	10:6	15
5	Guarany SE	9	3	3	3	10:10	12
6	America de Propria	9	2	6	1	8:8	12
7	Falcon	9	3	2	4	8:10	11
8	Atletico Gloriense	9	3	1	5	14:13	10
9	Dorense	9	2	1	6	9:23	7
10	Desportiva Aracaju	9	0	2	7	5:17	2

Match Preview: Falcon vs Itabaiana

Falcon welcomes Itabaiana for what is shaping up to be a crucial match in Sergipano. Scheduled for Friday, January 16, 2026 at 23:00 UTC, the match will take place at Estadio Estadual Lourival Baptista (Batistao). Both sides will be looking to make their mark in this scheduled event.

Team Context & Standings

Entering this game, both Falcon and Itabaiana are focused on their respective objectives for the season. Falcon will look to leverage their competitive standing to gain an advantage, while Itabaiana aims to improve their league position with a positive result on the road.

Head-to-Head & History

History suggests that matches between Falcon and Itabaiana are competitively fought. While past results offer a glimpse into tactical matchups, this fresh encounter brings new dynamics. The teams have their own recent history to draw upon as they prepare tactically.

Tactical Overview

Tactically, this game could be decided in the midfield battles. Control of possession, defensive discipline, and clinical finishing in the final third are expected to be the deciding factors. Falcon will try to assert dominance early, whereas Itabaiana might look for opportunities on the break or through set-pieces.

Following the Match

For those following the action, staying updated is key. From the first whistle to the final moments, fans can follow every goal, momentum shift, and key event as the drama unfolds on the pitch.

Key Statistics

Modern football is often defined by the underlying numbers. Expect close scrutiny on metrics such as shots on target, possession percentages, and corner counts. These figures will illustrate which team effectively controlled the tempo and created the most dangerous chances.

Why This Matters

Three points here could be pivotal for the ambitions of either Falcon or Itabaiana. Momentum is crucial in Sergipano, and a victory in this match would serve as a significant morale booster for the winning side moving forward in the campaign.