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Falcons vs Fortune

Gambia Gambia

GFA League
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Jallow M.
43' Event
Jarju A.
45' Event
Salifu J.

AI Match Summary

The GFA League game between Falcons and Fortune finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fortune.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Falcons
15%
Draws
67%
Fortune
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fortune

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / High Confidence
  • Falcons haven't matched Fortune's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Fortune a 67% chance of winning this.
  • Regular GFA League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Falcons Clean Sheet 21%
Fortune Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Falcons Fortune
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 14
Draws 14 11
Losses 9 5
Goals Scored 0.63 1.1
Goals Conceded 0.8 0.7
Expected Goals (xG) 0.44 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 11, 2026 GFA League
Falcons vs Fortune
1:2
Feb 16, 2026 GFA League
Fortune vs Falcons
0:1
Apr 5, 2025 GFA League
Falcons vs Fortune
1:2
Nov 30, 2024 GFA League
Fortune vs Falcons
1:1
Mar 20, 2024 GFA League
Falcons vs Fortune
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Falcons Compare

Top Goalscorer Jarju A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.34
Avg xA / game 0.22

Fortune Compare

Top Goalscorer Jallow M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Salifu J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Falcons 10 / 100
Fortune 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Falcons Fortune

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fortune Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Falcons scored in 43% of their last 30 games.

Fortune's defensive record shows goals conceded in 53% of 30 matches.

Falcons has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Falcons VS Fortune
0.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 0.63
38% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Falcons

(Home)
22 Jun
Falcons
2 : 1
Hart Academy
16 Jun
Steve Biko
1 : 1
Falcons
11 Jun
Falcons
1 : 2
Fortune
04 Jun
Real Banjul
2 : 0
Falcons
25 May
Team Rhino
1 : 0
Falcons
Page 1 of 6

Fortune

(Away)
22 Jun
Fortune
1 : 0
Steve Biko
17 Jun
Fortune
1 : 0
Real Banjul
11 Jun
Falcons
1 : 2
Fortune
04 Jun
Fortune
4 : 0
BST Galaxy
25 May
Brikama United
1 : 2
Fortune
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Medina United 30 16 6 8 34:25 54
2 Fortune 30 14 11 5 33:21 53
3 Gambia Ports 30 12 11 7 26:18 47
4 Bombada 30 11 11 8 36:32 44
5 Brikama United 30 11 10 9 37:33 43
6 Real Banjul 30 9 14 7 30:25 41
7 BST Galaxy 30 9 12 9 29:32 39
8 Hart Academy 30 9 11 10 36:34 38
9 Team Rhino 30 9 10 11 26:29 37
10 Falcons 30 7 14 9 19:24 35
11 Dutch Lions 30 7 13 10 33:33 34
12 Greater Tomorrow 30 8 10 12 25:35 34
13 Hawks 30 7 12 11 25:31 33
14 TMT 30 7 12 11 20:29 33
15 Samger 30 6 14 10 23:27 32
16 Steve Biko 30 5 15 10 24:28 30
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Relegation - GFA League (Relegation - Play Offs)