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Falcons vs Hart Academy Prediction & H2H Stats

Gambia Gambia

GFA League
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Badjie M.
22' Event
Jarju A.
75' Event

AI Match Summary

Falcons in this GFA League matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Falcons.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Falcons
30%
Draws
39%
Hart Academy
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Hart Academy

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Hart Academy have won more games recently than Falcons.
  • Model gives Falcons a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Falcons have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Falcons Clean Sheet 68%
Hart Academy Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Falcons Hart Academy
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 9
Draws 14 11
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 0.63 1.19
Goals Conceded 0.8 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 22, 2026 GFA League
Falcons vs Hart Academy
2:1
Dec 17, 2025 GFA League
Hart Academy vs Falcons
2:0
Jul 10, 2025 GFA League
Hart Academy vs Falcons
1:3
Jan 10, 2025 GFA League
Falcons vs Hart Academy
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Falcons Compare

Top Goalscorer Badjie M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jarju A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Hart Academy Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Falcons 46 / 100
Hart Academy 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Falcons Hart Academy

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hart Academy has conceded goals in 74% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Falcons found the back of the net in 43% of recent matches (30 games).

Falcons has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Falcons VS Hart Academy
0.25 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1.75
38% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Falcons

(Home)
22 Jun
Falcons
2 : 1
Hart Academy
16 Jun
Steve Biko
1 : 1
Falcons
11 Jun
Falcons
1 : 2
Fortune
04 Jun
Real Banjul
2 : 0
Falcons
25 May
Team Rhino
1 : 0
Falcons
Page 1 of 6

Hart Academy

(Away)
22 Jun
Falcons
2 : 1
Hart Academy
17 Jun
Hart Academy
3 : 1
Brikama United
11 Jun
Hart Academy
1 : 1
Samger
05 Jun
Medina United
0 : 0
Hart Academy
25 May
Hart Academy
0 : 1
TMT
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Medina United 30 16 6 8 34:25 54
2 Fortune 30 14 11 5 33:21 53
3 Gambia Ports 30 12 11 7 26:18 47
4 Bombada 30 11 11 8 36:32 44
5 Brikama United 30 11 10 9 37:33 43
6 Real Banjul 30 9 14 7 30:25 41
7 BST Galaxy 30 9 12 9 29:32 39
8 Hart Academy 30 9 11 10 36:34 38
9 Team Rhino 30 9 10 11 26:29 37
10 Falcons 30 7 14 9 19:24 35
11 Dutch Lions 30 7 13 10 33:33 34
12 Greater Tomorrow 30 8 10 12 25:35 34
13 Hawks 30 7 12 11 25:31 33
14 TMT 30 7 12 11 20:29 33
15 Samger 30 6 14 10 23:27 32
16 Steve Biko 30 5 15 10 24:28 30
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Relegation - GFA League (Relegation - Play Offs)