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Asia

AFC Challenge League 2025/2026 Morodok Techo National Stadium, Phnom Penh

Falcons

0 - 2

Manila Digger

Our Tip

Match Events

27'

Gai P. O.

39'

Ceesay S.

Assist: Gai P. O.

40'

Sub

Erdene-Ochir K. In: Marlon Santos

Out: Erdene-Ochir K.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The AFC Challenge League 2025/2026 game between Falcons and Manila Digger finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Manila Digger.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%

Falcons

15%

Draws

45%

Manila Digger

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Manila Digger

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence

Manila Digger carry the better recent record into this one.
Model gives Manila Digger a 45% chance of winning this.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%

Falcons Clean Sheet 10%

Manila Digger Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Falcons	Manila Digger
Matches Played	26	30
Wins	19	20
Draws	5	7
Losses	2	3
Goals Scored	3.5	3.63
Goals Conceded	0.85	0.7
Expected Goals (xG)	1.04	3.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 29, 2025 AFC Challenge League

Falcons vs Manila Digger

0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Falcons Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8

Avg xA / game 0.52

Manila Digger Compare

Top Goalscorer Ceesay S.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Gai P. O.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 3

Avg xA / game 1.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Falcons 10 / 100

Manila Digger 84 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Falcons Manila Digger

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Manila Digger Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Falcons scored in 85% of their last 26 games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Falcons went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Manila Digger's defensive record shows goals conceded in 53% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Manila Digger

0 Goals Scored 5.5

0 Goals Conceded 0.88

0% Over 1.5 100%

0% Over 2.5 88%

0% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Falcons

(Home)

01 Nov

Falcons

3 : 1

Ezra

29 Oct

Falcons

0 : 2

Manila Digger

26 Oct

Svay Rieng

3 : 0

Falcons

12 Oct

Khovd

0 : 2

Falcons

07 Oct

Khoromkhon

0 : 7

Falcons

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Manila Digger

(Away)

20 Sept

Stallion

0 : 3

Manila Digger

12 Sept

Kasuka

1 : 4

Manila Digger

04 Sept

Manila Digger

5 : 1

Kasuka

31 Aug

Persib Bandung

1 : 0

Manila Digger

30 May

Manila Digger

1 : 1

Taguig

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