Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Falcons vs Samger

Gambia Gambia

GFA League
Falcons Logo

Falcons

0 - 1
FT
Samger Logo

Samger

Our Tip

Match Events

47' Event
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Samger in this GFA League matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Samger.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Falcons
35%
Draws
41%
Samger
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Samger

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Samger haven't matched Falcons's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 11%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Falcons Clean Sheet 28%
Samger Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Falcons Samger
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 6
Draws 14 14
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 0.63 0.77
Goals Conceded 0.8 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2026 GFA League
Falcons vs Samger
0:1
Jan 23, 2026 GFA League
Samger vs Falcons
0:0
Mar 8, 2024 GFA League
Samger vs Falcons
0:2
Nov 26, 2023 GFA League
Falcons vs Samger
2:1
May 23, 2023 GFA League
Samger vs Falcons
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Falcons 34 / 100
Samger 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Falcons Samger

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Samger Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Samger conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Falcons scored in 43% of their last 30 outings.

Falcons went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Falcons VS Samger
0.25 Goals Scored 0.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
25% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Falcons

(Home)
22 Jun
Falcons
2 : 1
Hart Academy
16 Jun
Steve Biko
1 : 1
Falcons
11 Jun
Falcons
1 : 2
Fortune
04 Jun
Real Banjul
2 : 0
Falcons
25 May
Team Rhino
1 : 0
Falcons
Page 1 of 6

Samger

(Away)
22 Jun
Hawks
1 : 1
Samger
17 Jun
Samger
2 : 1
Bombada
11 Jun
Hart Academy
1 : 1
Samger
05 Jun
Greater Tomorrow
1 : 1
Samger
25 May
Samger
1 : 1
Steve Biko
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Medina United 30 16 6 8 34:25 54
2 Fortune 30 14 11 5 33:21 53
3 Gambia Ports 30 12 11 7 26:18 47
4 Bombada 30 11 11 8 36:32 44
5 Brikama United 30 11 10 9 37:33 43
6 Real Banjul 30 9 14 7 30:25 41
7 BST Galaxy 30 9 12 9 29:32 39
8 Hart Academy 30 9 11 10 36:34 38
9 Team Rhino 30 9 10 11 26:29 37
10 Falcons 30 7 14 9 19:24 35
11 Dutch Lions 30 7 13 10 33:33 34
12 Greater Tomorrow 30 8 10 12 25:35 34
13 Hawks 30 7 12 11 25:31 33
14 TMT 30 7 12 11 20:29 33
15 Samger 30 6 14 10 23:27 32
16 Steve Biko 30 5 15 10 24:28 30
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Relegation - GFA League (Relegation - Play Offs)