Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Falesti vs National Ialoveni - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Moldova Moldova

Liga 1
Falesti Logo

Falesti

3 - 1
FT
National Ialoveni Logo

National Ialoveni

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Liga 1 game between Falesti and National Ialoveni finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Falesti.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Falesti
15%
Draws
57%
National Ialoveni
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: National Ialoveni

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Falesti carry the better recent record into this one.
  • National Ialoveni are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Liga 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Falesti Clean Sheet 20%
National Ialoveni Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Falesti National Ialoveni
Matches Played 28 8
Wins 7 2
Draws 3 1
Losses 18 5
Goals Scored 1.11 1.13
Goals Conceded 2.18 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2026 Liga 1
Falesti vs National Ialoveni
3:1
Aug 22, 2026 Liga 1
National Ialoveni vs Falesti
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Falesti 20 / 100
National Ialoveni 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Falesti National Ialoveni

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick National Ialoveni Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Falesti found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (28 games).

National Ialoveni has conceded goals in 75% of their last 8 outings.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: National Ialoveni registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Falesti VS National Ialoveni
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Falesti

(Home)
19 Sept
Falesti
0 : 2
Oguzsport
12 Sept
Victoria
2 : 1
Falesti
01 Sept
Victoria
5 : 3
Falesti
29 Aug
Falesti
1 : 2
Stauceni
22 Aug
National Ialoveni
0 : 1
Falesti
Page 1 of 6

National Ialoveni

(Away)
11 Sept
Oguzsport
2 : 1
National Ialoveni
05 Sept
National Ialoveni
1 : 0
Stauceni
02 Sept
National Ialoveni
1 : 2
FC Congaz
28 Aug
Victoria
0 : 2
National Ialoveni
22 Aug
National Ialoveni
0 : 1
Falesti
Page 1 of 2

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vulturii Cutezatori 9 7 1 1 29:14 22
2 Iskra Ribnita 8 6 0 2 22:8 18
3 FCM Ungheni 9 4 2 3 24:18 14
4 Zimbru Chisinau 2 9 3 1 5 16:21 10
5 Univer Comrat 9 2 3 4 17:19 9
6 Sparta Selemet 8 0 1 7 10:38 1
Promotion - Super Liga (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Liga 1 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Oguzsport 8 4 3 1 10:5 15
2 Stauceni 7 3 2 2 12:9 11
3 National Ialoveni 6 2 1 3 5:6 7
4 Falesti 6 2 1 3 4:6 7
5 Victoria 7 2 1 4 7:12 7
Promotion - Super Liga (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Liga 1 (Relegation Group)