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Falesti vs Olimp Comrat Prediction & H2H Stats

Moldova Moldova

Liga 1 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Falesti in this Liga 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Falesti.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Falesti
15%
Draws
49%
Olimp Comrat
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Olimp Comrat

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Falesti have won more games recently than Olimp Comrat.
  • Model gives Falesti a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 48%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Falesti Clean Sheet 19%
Olimp Comrat Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Falesti Olimp Comrat
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 7 6
Draws 3 3
Losses 21 21
Goals Scored 1.06 1.2
Goals Conceded 2.39 3.23
Expected Goals (xG) 2.46 1.28
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Liga 1
Falesti vs Olimp Comrat
4:0
Nov 22, 2025 Liga 1
Olimp Comrat vs Falesti
2:3
Oct 4, 2025 Liga 1
Falesti vs Olimp Comrat
0:1
Aug 23, 2025 Liga 1
Olimp Comrat vs Falesti
1:0
Mar 16, 2024 Liga 1
Falesti vs Olimp Comrat
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Falesti 85 / 100
Olimp Comrat 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Falesti Olimp Comrat

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Falesti Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Olimp Comrat's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Falesti scored in 65% of their last 31 games.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Olimp Comrat registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Falesti VS Olimp Comrat
1.5 Goals Scored 1.43
1.13 Goals Conceded 3.43
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 86%
25% Over 3.5 71%

Recent Form & Match History

Falesti

(Home)
19 Sept
Falesti
0 : 2
Oguzsport
12 Sept
Victoria
2 : 1
Falesti
01 Sept
Victoria
5 : 3
Falesti
29 Aug
Falesti
1 : 2
Stauceni
22 Aug
National Ialoveni
0 : 1
Falesti
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Olimp Comrat

(Away)
02 Sept
FCM Ungheni
9 : 0
Olimp Comrat
24 Apr
Sheriff Tiraspol 2
2 : 2
Olimp Comrat
18 Apr
Olimp Comrat
3 : 4
Victoria
11 Apr
Falesti
4 : 0
Olimp Comrat
04 Apr
Olimp Comrat
3 : 0
FCM Ungheni
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FCM Ungheni 7 5 0 2 24:13 15
2 Falesti 7 4 1 2 12:8 13
3 Univer Comrat 7 3 2 2 11:12 11
4 Oguzsport 7 2 3 2 7:8 9
5 Zimbru Chisinau 2 7 3 0 4 11:10 9
6 Victoria 7 2 2 3 10:15 8
7 Olimp Comrat 7 2 2 3 12:15 8
8 Sheriff Tiraspol 2 7 1 2 4 6:12 5
Promotion - Super Liga 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)