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Falesti vs Olimp Comrat

Moldova Moldova

Liga 1 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Falesti in this Liga 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Falesti.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Falesti
11%
Draws
9%
Olimp Comrat
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Falesti

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Falesti have won more games recently than Olimp Comrat.
  • Model gives Falesti a 80% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Falesti Clean Sheet 10%
Olimp Comrat Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Falesti Olimp Comrat
Matches Played 40 36
Wins 14 10
Draws 3 4
Losses 23 22
Goals Scored 2 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.38 4.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 4.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Liga 1
Falesti vs Olimp Comrat
4:0
Nov 22, 2025 Liga 1
Olimp Comrat vs Falesti
2:3
Oct 4, 2025 Liga 1
Falesti vs Olimp Comrat
0:1
Aug 23, 2025 Liga 1
Olimp Comrat vs Falesti
1:0
Mar 16, 2024 Liga 1
Falesti vs Olimp Comrat
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Falesti 74 / 100
Olimp Comrat 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Falesti Olimp Comrat

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FAL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Olimp Comrat's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 36 matches.

Falesti scored in 68% of their last 40 games.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Falesti has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Falesti VS Olimp Comrat
2 Goals Scored 1.5
2.38 Goals Conceded 4.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Falesti

(Home)
16 May
Sparta Selemet
3 : 0
Falesti
24 Apr
Oguzsport
1 : 1
Falesti
17 Apr
Falesti
2 : 1
Sheriff Tiraspol 2
11 Apr
Falesti
4 : 0
Olimp Comrat
03 Apr
Zimbru Chisinau 2
0 : 1
Falesti
Page 1 of 8

Olimp Comrat

(Away)
24 Apr
Sheriff Tiraspol 2
2 : 2
Olimp Comrat
18 Apr
Olimp Comrat
3 : 4
Victoria
11 Apr
Falesti
4 : 0
Olimp Comrat
04 Apr
Olimp Comrat
3 : 0
FCM Ungheni
20 Mar
Zimbru Chisinau 2
4 : 1
Olimp Comrat
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FCM Ungheni750224:1315
2Falesti741212:813
3Univer Comrat732211:1211
4Oguzsport72327:89
5Zimbru Chisinau 2730411:109
6Victoria722310:158
7Olimp Comrat722312:158
8Sheriff Tiraspol 271246:125
Promotion - Super Liga 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)