Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Falesti vs Sheriff Tiraspol 2

Moldova Moldova

Liga 1 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Falesti in this Liga 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Falesti.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Falesti
30%
Draws
39%
Sheriff Tiraspol 2
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sheriff Tiraspol 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sheriff Tiraspol 2 lately — more wins on the board than Falesti.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 27%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Falesti Clean Sheet 20%
Sheriff Tiraspol 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Falesti Sheriff Tiraspol 2
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 11
Draws 3 6
Losses 20 13
Goals Scored 1.1 1.63
Goals Conceded 2.4 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2026 Liga 1
Falesti vs Sheriff Tiraspol 2
2:1
Oct 31, 2025 Liga 1
Sheriff Tiraspol 2 vs Falesti
4:1
Sep 19, 2025 Liga 1
Falesti vs Sheriff Tiraspol 2
0:0
Aug 8, 2025 Liga 1
Sheriff Tiraspol 2 vs Falesti
4:2
Dec 7, 2024 Liga 1
Falesti vs Sheriff Tiraspol 2
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Falesti 31 / 100
Sheriff Tiraspol 2 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Falesti Sheriff Tiraspol 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Falesti Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Falesti found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Sheriff Tiraspol 2 let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Solid form: Falesti remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Falesti VS Sheriff Tiraspol 2
1.5 Goals Scored 0.86
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.71
75% Over 1.5 86%
63% Over 2.5 43%
25% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Falesti

(Home)
12 Sept
Victoria
2 : 1
Falesti
01 Sept
Victoria
5 : 3
Falesti
29 Aug
Falesti
1 : 2
Stauceni
22 Aug
National Ialoveni
0 : 1
Falesti
14 Aug
Oguzsport
0 : 0
Falesti
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Sheriff Tiraspol 2

(Away)
24 Apr
Sheriff Tiraspol 2
2 : 2
Olimp Comrat
17 Apr
Falesti
2 : 1
Sheriff Tiraspol 2
10 Apr
Sheriff Tiraspol 2
0 : 1
Zimbru Chisinau 2
03 Apr
Univer Comrat
1 : 1
Sheriff Tiraspol 2
21 Mar
Sheriff Tiraspol 2
2 : 0
Victoria
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FCM Ungheni 7 5 0 2 24:13 15
2 Falesti 7 4 1 2 12:8 13
3 Univer Comrat 7 3 2 2 11:12 11
4 Oguzsport 7 2 3 2 7:8 9
5 Zimbru Chisinau 2 7 3 0 4 11:10 9
6 Victoria 7 2 2 3 10:15 8
7 Olimp Comrat 7 2 2 3 12:15 8
8 Sheriff Tiraspol 2 7 1 2 4 6:12 5
Promotion - Super Liga 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)