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Stadium Background

Falesti vs Stauceni

Moldova Moldova

Liga 1
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Stauceni in this Liga 1 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Stauceni.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Falesti
20%
Draws
40%
Stauceni
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Stauceni have won more games recently than Falesti.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Liga 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Stauceni have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Falesti Clean Sheet 20%
Stauceni Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Falesti Stauceni
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 9 14
Draws 4 6
Losses 19 9
Goals Scored 1.22 2.14
Goals Conceded 2.34 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Liga 1
Falesti vs Stauceni
1:2
Nov 8, 2025 Liga 1
Falesti vs Stauceni
3:7
Sep 27, 2025 Liga 1
Stauceni vs Falesti
4:0
Aug 16, 2025 Liga 1
Falesti vs Stauceni
0:2
May 7, 2025 Super Liga
Falesti vs Stauceni
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Falesti 36 / 100
Stauceni 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Falesti Stauceni

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stauceni Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.40 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Falesti scored in 69% of their last 32 outings.

Stauceni's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Falesti went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Falesti VS Stauceni
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Falesti

(Home)
29 Aug
Falesti
1 : 2
Stauceni
22 Aug
National Ialoveni
0 : 1
Falesti
14 Aug
Oguzsport
0 : 0
Falesti
08 Aug
Falesti
1 : 0
Victoria
16 May
Sparta Selemet
3 : 0
Falesti
Page 1 of 7

Stauceni

(Away)
29 Aug
Falesti
1 : 2
Stauceni
22 Aug
Stauceni
1 : 0
Oguzsport
15 Aug
Victoria
3 : 2
Stauceni
01 Aug
Stauceni
1 : 1
National Ialoveni
16 May
Iskra Ribnita
3 : 1
Stauceni
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vulturii Cutezatori 5 4 1 0 20:8 13
2 Iskra Ribnita 5 4 0 1 18:6 12
3 FCM Ungheni 5 2 1 2 13:10 7
4 Univer Comrat 5 2 1 2 15:14 7
5 Zimbru Chisinau 2 5 1 0 4 9:14 3
6 Sparta Selemet 5 0 1 4 4:27 1
Promotion - Super Liga (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Liga 1 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Oguzsport 4 2 1 1 3:1 7
2 Stauceni 4 2 1 1 6:5 7
3 Falesti 4 2 1 1 3:2 7
4 National Ialoveni 4 1 1 2 3:4 4
5 Victoria 4 1 0 3 3:6 3
Promotion - Super Liga (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Liga 1 (Relegation Group)