Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-2, with Victoria advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
26%
15%
59%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Victoria
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
59%
/ Medium Confidence
- Falesti have managed 1.19 goals a game lately — Victoria are scoring more at 1.39.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
- Historical meetings favor Victoria, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Falesti Clean Sheet 20%
Victoria Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Falesti | Victoria |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 31 |
| Wins | 8 | 8 |
| Draws | 3 | 4 |
| Losses | 21 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 1.19 | 1.39 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.44 | 2.71 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 12, 2026 Liga 1
Victoria vs Falesti
2:1
Sep 1, 2026 Moldovan Cup
Victoria vs Falesti
5:3
Aug 8, 2026 Liga 1
Falesti vs Victoria
1:0
Mar 13, 2026 Liga 1
Victoria vs Falesti
1:2
Sep 30, 2025 Moldovan Cup
Falesti vs Victoria
1:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Falesti 32 / 100
Victoria 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Falesti Victoria
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Victoria Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Victoria's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 31 matches.
Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.
Falesti found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (32 games).
Falesti has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Falesti VS Victoria
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Falesti
(Home) 19 Sept
Falesti
0 : 2 Oguzsport
12 Sept
Victoria
2 : 1 Falesti
01 Sept
Victoria
5 : 3 Falesti
29 Aug
Falesti
1 : 2 Stauceni
22 Aug
National Ialoveni
0 : 1 Falesti
Page 1 of 7
19 Sept
Falesti
0 : 2 Oguzsport
29 Aug
Falesti
1 : 2 Stauceni
08 Aug
Falesti
1 : 0 Victoria
17 Apr
Falesti
2 : 1 Sheriff Tiraspol 2
11 Apr
Falesti
4 : 0 Olimp Comrat
Page 1 of 4
Victoria
(Away) 18 Sept
Stauceni
4 : 1 Victoria
12 Sept
Victoria
2 : 1 Falesti
04 Sept
Oguzsport
1 : 1 Victoria
01 Sept
Victoria
5 : 3 Falesti
28 Aug
Victoria
0 : 2 National Ialoveni
Page 1 of 7
18 Sept
Stauceni
4 : 1 Victoria
04 Sept
Oguzsport
1 : 1 Victoria
08 Aug
Falesti
1 : 0 Victoria
06 May
FCM Ungheni
4 : 2 Victoria
18 Apr
Olimp Comrat
3 : 4 Victoria
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Petrocub Hincesti -
TBD -
Oguzsport 1
Olimp Comrat 2
Zaria Balti -
TBD -
Falesti 1
Victoria 2
Sheriff Tiraspol -
TBD -
FCM Ungheni 3
Steaua Nordului 2
Dacia Buiucani -
TBD -
Stauceni 7
National Ialoveni 3
Zimbru Chisinau -
TBD -
Univer Comrat 6
Constructorul Leova 1
Politehnica UTM -
TBD -
Real Sireti 7
CSFCJT Atletico 2
Milsami -
TBD -
Floresti 6
EFA Visoca 0
Sparta Selemet -
TBD -
Iskra Ribnita 4
FC Congaz 1
1/8-finals
Petrocub Hincesti 2
Olimp Comrat 0
CSF Balti 6
Victoria 1
Sheriff Tiraspol 7
FCM Ungheni 0
Dacia Buiucani 1
Stauceni 0
Zimbru Chisinau 10
Univer Comrat 0
Politehnica UTM 6
Real Sireti 1
Milsami 1
Floresti 0
Sparta Selemet 3
Iskra Ribnita 1
Quarter-finals
Petrocub Hincesti 2
CSF Balti 1
Sheriff Tiraspol 4
Dacia Buiucani 1
Zimbru Chisinau 10
Politehnica UTM 0
Milsami 5
Sparta Selemet 0
Semi-finals
Petrocub Hincesti 1
Sheriff Tiraspol 2
Zimbru Chisinau 3
Milsami 0
Final
Sheriff Tiraspol 2
Zimbru Chisinau 0
